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August 15, 2017 22:00 GMT
MNI Asian Morning FI Technical Analysis
16 August 2017
By Kyle Shortland
Click below for today's MNI FI Technical Analysis Report -
http://tinyurl.com/phluope
AUSSIE 3-YR TECHS: (U17) Below 97.980 Targets 97.810-860
*RES 4: 98.097 - 55-DMA
*RES 3: 98.078 - 200-DMA
*RES 2: 98.060 - Alternating hourly support/resistance
*RES 1: 98.027 - 21-DMA
*PRICE: 98.010 @ 2130GMT
*SUP 1: 98.000 - 21-DMA
*SUP 2: 97.980 - Alternating daily support/resistance
*SUP 3: 97.950 - Bollinger band base
*SUP 4: 97.940 - Low July 26
*COMMENTARY: Topside failures around the 200-DMA have taken their toll with a
close below the 21-DMA that leaves U17 looking heavy and immediate focus now on
97.980. Bears look for a close below this level to add weight to the case for a
move back to 97.810-860. Initial resistance is noted at the 21-DMA with bulls
needing a close above to ease bearish pressure and above 98.060 to pressure 200
& 55-DMAs.
AUSSIE 10-YR TECHS: (U17) 97.3150 Support Key Today
*RES 4: 97.4450 - High June 30
*RES 3: 97.4140 - 55-DMA
*RES 2: 97.3950 - Hourly resistance Aug 14
*RES 1: 97.3600 - Hourly resistance Aug 15
*PRICE: 97.3300 @ 2130GMT
*SUP 1: 97.3150 - Low Aug 15
*SUP 2: 97.2500 - Low July 27
*SUP 3: 97.2100 - Monthly Low July 20
*SUP 4: 97.1650 - High Mar 16 now support
*COMMENTARY: Hesitation around the 55-DMA has taken its toll with a bearish
close leaving U17 looking heavy. Bears now look for a close below 97.3150 to
confirm breaks of 21 (97.3286) & 200 (97.3279) DMAs and below 97.1650 to confirm
focus on tests of 96.9800-97.0600 where 2017 lows are located. Bulls now need a
close above 97.3600 to gain breathing room and above 97.4450 to shift focus
higher.
US 10-YR FUTURE TECHS: (U17) 125-290 Support Key
*RES 4: 127-030 - Daily Bull channel top
*RES 3: 126-290 - High June 26
*RES 2: 126-220 - Hourly resistance Aug 14
*RES 1: 126-140 - Alternating hourly support/resistance
*PRICE: 126-030 @ 2130GMT
*SUP 1: 125-300 - Daily Bull channel base
*SUP 2: 125-290 - Low Aug 8
*SUP 3: 125-210 - 100-DMA
*SUP 4: 125-200 - Bollinger band base
*COMMENTARY: U17 remains heavy having closed marginally below 21 (126-050) & 55
(126-040) DMAs. Immediate focus is now on the 125-290/300 supports where the
daily bull channel base is noted. Bears need a close below 125-290 to end
bullish hopes with below 125-150 targeting 124-210/250. The 126-140/220
resistance is now key. Bulls need a close above 126-140 to ease bearish pressure
and above 126-220 to shift focus back to 126-290/127-080.
US 10-YR YIELD TECHS: Immediate Focus On 2.289
*RES 4: 2.337 - High July 25
*RES 3: 2.326 - 200-DMA
*RES 2: 2.323 - Daily Bear channel top
*RES 1: 2.289 - High Aug 4 & 8
*PRICE: 2.273 @ 2130GMT
*SUP 1: 2.250 - Hourly support Aug 15
*SUP 2: 2.229 - High Aug 14 now support
*SUP 3: 2.203 - Hourly support Aug 14
*SUP 4: 2.177 - High June 21 now support
*COMMENTARY: Immediate focus is now on the 2.289 resistance with bulls needing a
close above to confirm focus on tests of 2.323-2.337 where the 200-DMA and bear
channel top are situated. Above 2.337 is now needed to hint at a move back to
2017 highs with above 2.398 confirming. The 2.229-250 support region is key.
Bears need a close below 2.229 to end bullish hopes and shift focus back to
2.175-177 where the 55-WMA is noted.
JGB TECHS: (U17) Bears Need Close Below 200-DMA
*RES 4: 150.71 - 55-WMA
*RES 3: 150.70 - 100-WMA
*RES 2: 150.67 - High June 28
*RES 1: 150.62 - Daily Bull channel top
*PRICE: 150.59 @ 2130GMT
*SUP 1: 150.44 - 200-DMA
*SUP 2: 150.32 - 55-DMA
*SUP 3: 150.26 - 21-DMA
*SUP 4: 150.11 - Low Aug 2
*COMMENTARY: Closes above 100 (150.49) and 200 (150.44) DMAs adds support to the
bullish case with focus on layers of resistance 150.67-150.92 where WMAs are
noted. The Bollinger top (150.54) is the key concern for bulls with potential to
limit follow through. The 200-DMA remains initial support with bears needing a
close below to ease bullish pressure and below the 21-DMA so shift focus back to
150.03-06.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +44 207-862-7435; email: kyle.shortland@mni-news.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE]
To read the full story
Close
Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
Sign up now for free trial access to this content.
Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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