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August 17, 2017 21:57 GMT
MNI Asian Morning FI Technical Analysis
18 August 2017
By Kyle Shortland
Click below for today's MNI FI Technical Analysis Report -
http://tinyurl.com/phluope
AUSSIE 3-YR TECHS: (U17) 97.980 Support Remains Key
*RES 4: 98.087 - 55-DMA
*RES 3: 98.075 - 200-DMA
*RES 2: 98.063 - Daily Bear channel top
*RES 1: 98.060 - Alternating hourly support/resistance
*PRICE: 98.050 @ 2130GMT
*SUP 1: 98.000 - Low Aug 15 & 16
*SUP 2: 97.980 - Alternating daily support/resistance
*SUP 3: 97.989 - Bollinger band base
*SUP 4: 97.940 - Low July 26
*COMMENTARY: Support emerging ahead of the key 97.980 level has bought bulls
breathing room with a close above the 21-DMA (98.038) reconfirming focus on
98.075-130 where key DMAs are situated. The 97.980 support remains key with
bears needing a close below this level to add weight to the case for a move back
to 97.810-860. Narrowing Bollinger bands are suggestive of a break out in the
near future.
AUSSIE 10-YR TECHS: (U17) 97.3150 Support Remains Key
*RES 4: 97.4737 - 55-WMA
*RES 3: 97.4450 - High June 30
*RES 2: 97.4125 - 100-DMA
*RES 1: 97.3950 - Hourly resistance Aug 14
*PRICE: 97.3850 @ 2130GMT
*SUP 1: 97.3400 - Hourly resistance Aug 16 now support
*SUP 2: 97.3150 - Low Aug 15
*SUP 3: 97.2500 - Low July 27
*SUP 4: 97.2100 - Monthly Low July 20
*COMMENTARY: The 97.3150 support confirmed significance having stalled the
correction lower from 55 & 100-DMA failures. Bulls continue to look for a close
above 97.4450 to hint at a move back to 97.6100-6750 with above the 55-WMA to
confirm. Bears continue to look for a close below 97.3150 to confirm breaks of
21 (97.3390) & 200 (97.3245) DMAs and below 97.1650 to confirm focus on tests of
96.9800-97.0600 where 2017 lows are located.
US 10-YR FUTURE TECHS: (U17) Focus Back On 126-290
*RES 4: 127-080 - Monthly High June 14
*RES 3: 127-070 - 200-WMA
*RES 2: 127-060 - Daily Bull channel top
*RES 1: 126-290 - High June 26
*PRICE: 126-250 @ 2130GMT
*SUP 1: 126-200 - Hourly support Aug 17
*SUP 2: 126-110 - Low Aug 17
*SUP 3: 126-010 - Daily Bull channel base
*SUP 4: 125-290 - Low Aug 8
*COMMENTARY: The 125-290/010 support region confirmed significance Wednesday
with the contact recovering from a close below 21 (126-060) & 55 (126-040) DMAs.
Bulls have gained breathing room with focus back on the 126-290 level. Bulls
need a close above 126-290 to reconfirm the bullish bias and initially target
127-060/080. The 126-110 support is key today with bears needing a close below
to shift focus back to 125-290/126-010.
US 10-YR YIELD TECHS: 2.173-177 Support Key
*RES 4: 2.264 - Hourly support Aug 16 now resistance
*RES 3: 2.250 - Alternating hourly support/resistance
*RES 2: 2.229 - Hourly resistance Aug 17
*RES 1: 2.203 - Hourly support Aug 14 now resistance
*PRICE: 2.185 @ 2130GMT
*SUP 1: 2.185 - Low Aug 17
*SUP 2: 2.177 - High June 21 now support
*SUP 3: 2.173 - 55-WMA
*SUP 4: 2.121 - Low June 26
*COMMENTARY: The 2.289 resistance confirmed significance with the yield rejected
ahead of this level and the sell-off resulting in bearish closes. Initial focus
has now returned to the 2.173-177 supports with a close below needed to confirm
focus on 2.053-121 where 2017 lows and the 100-WMA are situated. Layers of
resistance are accumulating and weighing with bulls needing a close above 2.264
to shift focus back to 2.289.
JGB TECHS: (U17) 150.43-57 Support Region Key
*RES 4: 151.08 - High May 1
*RES 3: 150.92 - Low Apr 26 now resistance
*RES 2: 150.89 - High June 7
*RES 1: 150.71 - 55-WMA
*PRICE: 150.65 @ 2130GMT
*SUP 1: 150.57 - Low Aug 17
*SUP 2: 150.50 -100-DMA
*SUP 3: 150.43 - 200-DMA
*SUP 4: 150.31 - 55-DMA
*COMMENTARY: Closes above 100 and 200 DMAs adds support to the bullish case with
focus on layers of resistance 150.71-150.92 where WMAs are noted. The Bollinger
top (150.67) and O/B studies are key concerns for bulls with potential to limit
follow through. Initial support is noted at 150.57 with bears needing a close
below to ease bullish pressure and below the 200-DMA to shift focus back to 21 &
55-DMAs 150.31
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +44 207-862-7435; email: kyle.shortland@mni-news.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE]
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Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
Sign up now for free trial access to this content.
Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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