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MNI Asian Morning FI Technical Analysis
27 September 2017
By Kyle Shortland
Click below for today's MNI FI Technical Analysis Report -
http://tinyurl.com/phluope
AUSSIE 3-YR TECHS: (Z17) 97.865-880 Resistance Region Now Key
*RES 4: 97.935 - Hourly resistance Sept 14
*RES 3: 97.880 - Low Sept 14 now resistance
*RES 2: 97.865 - Hourly resistance Sept 15
*RES 1: 97.840 - High Sept 26
*PRICE: 97.830 @ 2130GMT
*SUP 1: 97.800 - Low Sept 25
*SUP 2: 97.760 - Hourly resistance Sept 21 now support
*SUP 3: 97.720 - 2017 Low Sept 20
*SUP 4: 97.637 - Daily Bear channel base
*COMMENTARY: Bears currently remain focused on the daily bear channel base and
then 2015 lows. In saying that, correcting O/S studies remain a key concern for
bears. The 97.865-880 resistance region is now key. Above 97.880 is needed to
see bulls targeting 97.918-982 where 21 & 55-DMAs and the bear channel top are
located. Bears now need a close below 97.800 to ease pressure on 97.865-880.
AUSSIE 10-YR TECHS: (Z17) Above 97.2300 To Shift Focus To DMAs
*RES 4: 97.3168 - 200-DMA
*RES 3: 97.2776 - 21-DMA
*RES 2: 97.2300 - Low July 26 now resistance
*RES 1: 97.2100 - Monthly Low July 20 now resistance
*PRICE: 97.1950 @ 2130GMT
*SUP 1: 97.1650 - Low Sept 25
*SUP 2: 97.1450 - Hourly resistance Sept 21 now support
*SUP 3: 97.1150 - Alternating hourly support/resistance
*SUP 4: 97.0750 - Low Sept 21
*COMMENTARY: The lack of follow through on Thursdays 6mth lows was less than
ideal for bears given daily studies correcting from O/S and the Bollinger base
(97.0865) limiting follow through. Bulls need a close above 97.2300 to confirm
an easing of bearish pressure and to shift focus back to 97.2776-4109 where DMAs
and the bear channel top are situated. Bears now need a close below 97.1450 to
retain initial focus on 97.0600.
US 10-YR FUTURE TECHS: (Z17) 125-170/230 Support Region Key
*RES 4: 126-170 - 21-DMA
*RES 3: 126-090 - High Sept 18
*RES 2: 126-050 - High Sept 20
*RES 1: 126-040 - High Sept 25, 55-DMA
*PRICE: 126-000 @ 2130GMT
*SUP 1: 125-260 - Low Sept 26
*SUP 2: 125-230 - Low Sept 25
*SUP 3: 125-170 - Low Aug 8 & Sept 20
*SUP 4: 125-040 - Low July 26
*COMMENTARY: Bears take comfort in hesitation around the 55-DMA with bulls
continuing to look for a close above 126-090 to hint at a correction back to
126-270. O/S daily studies correcting add support to the case for a bigger
correction. The 125-170/230 support is now key. Bears need a close below 125-230
to ease renewed bullish pressure and below 125-170 to shift focus lower.
US 10-YR YIELD TECHS: Bears Need Close Below 2.208
*RES 4: 2.290 - High Aug 4
*RES 3: 2.287 - High Sept 20
*RES 2: 2.266 - Hourly support Sept 20 now resistance
*RES 1: 2.245 - High Sept 26
*PRICE: 2.236 @ 2130GMT
*SUP 1: 2.227 - Hourly resistance Sept 26 now support
*SUP 2: 2.214 - Low Sept 26
*SUP 3: 2.208 - Low Sept 18
*SUP 4: 2.171 - Hourly resistance Sept 13 now support
*COMMENTARY: Despite correcting lower from last week's high bears have failed to
break the 2.208 support. Bears need a close below 2.208 to target 2.118-174
where the 21-DMA is located. Layers of resistance are building with bulls
needing a close above 2.266 to return immediate pressure to 2.290 and overall
focus to 2.329-337 where the 200-DMA is noted. Correcting O/B studies remain a
concern for bulls.
JGB TECHS: (Z17) Above 151.09 To Shift Focus Higher
*RES 4: 151.05 - 21-DMA
*RES 3: 150.99 - Hourly resistance Sept 12
*RES 2: 150.96 - High Sept 22
*RES 1: 150.84 - Hourly resistance Sept 26
*PRICE: 150.79 @ 2130GMT
*SUP 1: 150.77 - Low Sept 25
*SUP 2: 150.75 - Hourly support Sept 21
*SUP 3: 150.67 - 55-WMA
*SUP 4: 150.65 - Low Sept 20
*COMMENTARY: The correction lower from 2017 highs is hesitating ahead of key
DMAs clustered 150.43-61. Bears continue to look for a close below the 200-DMA
(150.43) to end bullish hopes and hint at a move back to 149.65 July lows with
below 150.06 to confirm. Layers of resistance remain and are weighing with bulls
still needing a close above 151.09 to shift focus back to 2017 highs (151.51).
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +44 207-862-7435; email: kyle.shortland@mni-news.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.