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October 17, 2017 20:52 GMT
MNI Asian Morning FI Technical Analysis
18 October 2017
By Kyle Shortland
Click below for today's MNI FI Technical Analysis Report -
http://tinyurl.com/phluope
AUSSIE 3-YR FUTURE TECHS: (Z17) Hesitating Ahead Of Bear Channel Top
*RES 4: 97.940 - 55-DMA
*RES 3: 97.935 - Hourly resistance Sept 14
*RES 2: 97.906 - Daily Bear channel top
*RES 1: 97.890 - High Oct 16 & 17
*PRICE: 97.870 @ 2030GMT
*SUP 1: 97.860 - Low Oct 17
*SUP 2: 97.835 - 21-DMA
*SUP 3: 97.820 - Low Oct 6
*SUP 4: 97.780 - Low Sept 28 & Oct 2
*COMMENTARY: Support emerging ahead of 87.820 last week has provided the base
for a break of the 97.880 resistance although follow through has been lacking
with the contract capped ahead of the bear channel top. The 97.820 support
remains key. Bears need a close below 97.820 to confirm a break of the 21-DMA
and shift focus back to 97.720 2017 lows. A close above 97.950 is needed to
shift focus to 98.015-050 where 100 & 200-DMAs are noted.
AUSSIE 10-YR FUTURE TECHS: (Z17) 97.2300 Resistance Remains Key
*RES 4: 97.3166 - 200-DMA
*RES 3: 97.2757 - 55-DMA
*RES 2: 97.2304 - Bollinger band top
*RES 1: 97.2300 - Low July 26 now resistance
*PRICE: 97.2200 @ 2030GMT
*SUP 1: 97.1850 - Low Oct 17
*SUP 2: 97.1650 - Low Oct 13
*SUP 3: 97.1638 - 21-DMA
*SUP 4: 97.1450 - Hourly support Oct 12
*COMMENTARY: Pressure remains on key resistance levels with bulls needing a
close above 97.2300 to ease bearish pressure and to shift focus back to
97.2757-3166 where key DMAs are situated. Initial support is noted at 97.1850
with bears needing a close below 97.1450 to shift focus back to 97.0600-0900.
Bears need a close below 97.0600 to confirm focus on 96.9650-9706 where the bear
channel base is noted.
US 10-YR FUTURE TECHS: (Z17) Below 124-310 To Shift Focus Lower
*RES 4: 126-020 - 55-DMA
*RES 3: 125-290 - 100-DMA
*RES 2: 125-255 - High Oct 13
*RES 1: 125-165 - Hourly support Oct 16 now resistance
*PRICE: 125-120 @ 2030GMT
*SUP 1: 125-100 - Alternating hourly support/resistance
*SUP 2: 125-050 - Hourly support Oct 11
*SUP 3: 124-310 - Hourly support Oct 9
*SUP 4: 124-287 - Bollinger band base
*COMMENTARY: The break of the 125-100 support lacked follow through Tuesday with
the contract bouncing from ahead of the 125-050 support. Bulls now need a close
above 125-165 to gain breathing room and return pressure to 125-250/126-090
where 55 & 100-DMAs are situated. Bears now look for a close below 124-310 to
confirm focus on tests of 124-140 July lows.
US 10-YR YIELD TECHS: Focus on 2.208-2.245
*RES 4: 2.372 - Hourly resistance Oct 6
*RES 3: 2.355 - Hourly resistance Oct 11
*RES 2: 2.334 - High Oct 13
*RES 1: 2.310 - Hourly resistance Oct 17
*PRICE: 2.303 @ 2030GMT
*SUP 1: 2.296 - Low Oct 17
*SUP 2: 2.278 - Low Oct 16
*SUP 3: 2.245 - High Sept 26 now support
*SUP 4: 2.237 - 100-DMA
*COMMENTARY: The lack of follow through on Friday's close below 21 (2.300) & 200
(2.314) DMAs is less than ideal for bears who are focused on 2.208-2.245 where
55 & 100-DMAs are noted. The spike higher Tuesday lacked follow through and
leaves the yield looking a little heavy. Bears now need a close below Tuesday's
low to add weight to the case. Bulls now need a close above 2.334 to ease
immediate bearish pressure and above 2.402 to return initial focus to 2.437.
JGB TECHS: (Z17) 150.28 Support Remains Key
*RES 4: 150.68 - 55-DMA
*RES 3: 150.59 - High Oct 5
*RES 2: 150.53 - 100-DMA
*RES 1: 150.48 - Alternating hourly support/resistance
*PRICE: 150.39 @ 2030GMT
*SUP 1: 150.31 - Low Oct 13
*SUP 2: 150.28 - Hourly resistance Oct 3 now support
*SUP 3: 150.18 - Hourly support Oct 3
*SUP 4: 150.08 - Low Oct 3
*COMMENTARY: Layers of resistance remain 150.48-150.68. Bulls look for a close
above the 100-DMA to gain breathing room and above the 55-DMA to end bearish
hopes and shift immediate focus to 150.96-151.09. The 150.28 support remains
key. Bears look for a close below 150.28 to ease pressure on DMAs and to return
focus to 150.06-09. Daily studies correcting higher are the key concern for
bears but the 150.48-67 region remains key.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +44 207-862-7435; email: kyle.shortland@mni-news.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE]
To read the full story
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Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
Sign up now for free trial access to this content.
Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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