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MNI Asian Morning FI Technical Analysis

27 December 2017
By Kyle Shortland
Click below for today's MNI FI Technical Analysis Report -
http://tinyurl.com/phluope
AUSSIE 3-YR TECHS: (H18) Immediate Focus On 97.720-770 Support Region 
*RES 4: 98.974 - 55-DMA 
*RES 3: 98.962 - 100-DMA 
*RES 2: 98.910 - Hourly resistance Dec 18 
*RES 1: 98.855 - High Dec 21
*PRICE: 97.805 @ 2030GMT
*SUP 1: 97.770 - Low Sept 22 
*SUP 2: 97.720 - 2017 Low Sept 21 
*SUP 3: 97.605 - 2015 Low Dec 12 
*SUP 4: 97.550 - Monthly Low Dec 3 2014
*COMMENTARY: Recent 2mth lows add weight to the bearish case with focus firmly
on 97.720-770 where 2017 lows are located. The Bollinger base (97.808) and O/S
daily studies are concerns for bears with potential to limit follow through. In
saying that, bulls still look for a close above 97.855 to gain breathing room
and above 97.910 to shift focus back to 97.962-98.043 where key DMAs are
clustered.
AUSSIE 10-YR TECHS: (H18) Bears Now Need Close Below 97.2200 
*RES 4: 97.5000 - Hourly resistance Dec 1, High Dec 8
*RES 3: 97.4400 - High Dec 18
*RES 2: 97.3650 - Low Dec 17 now resistance
*RES 1: 97.3221 - 100-DMA
*PRICE: 97.2600 @ 2030GMT
*SUP 1: 97.2200 - High Oct 25 now support
*SUP 2: 97.2041 - 200-WMA
*SUP 3: 97.1450 - Low Oct 25
*SUP 4: 97.0900 - Monthly Low Oct 3
*COMMENTARY: Closes below key DMAs add weight to the bearish case with bears now
looking for a close below 97.2200 to confirm focus on 97.0750-0900 where monthly
lows are noted. The Bollinger base (97.3070) is the key concern for bears with
potential to limit follow through. Bulls now need a close above the 100-DMA to
ease immediate bearish pressure and above 97.3650 to hint at a move back to
97.5200 Nov highs.
US 10-YR FUTURE TECHS: (H18) Bulls Need Close Above 123-29+
*RES 4: 124-05 Hourly support Dec 13 now resistance
*RES 3: 123-29+ Low Dec 13 now resistance
*RES 2: 123-27 Lows Oct 25 & 27 now resistance
*RES 1: 123-21+ High Dec 27
*PRICE: 123-19+ @ 2030GMT
*SUP 1: 123-12+ Low Dec 21
*SUP 2: 123-07+ High Mar 13 now support
*SUP 3: 123-01+ Daily Bear channel base
*SUP 4: 122-20+ Monthly Low Mar 14
*COMMENTARY: Repeated topside failures ahead of the key 124-16+/23+ resistance
region where the bear channel top and 55-DMA are located resulted in a break of
key supports and bears focused on 122-20+/123-07+ where monthly lows and the
bear channel base are noted. The Bollinger base (123-11+) is a concern for bears
with potential to limit follow through. Bulls still need a close above 123-29+
to ease bearish pressure.
US 10-YR YIELD TECHS: Bears Need Close Below 2.423
*RES 4: 2.628 - 2017 High Mar 13 
*RES 3: 2.544 - High Mar 17 
*RES 2: 2.534 - Weekly Bear channel top (Off 2014 high) 
*RES 1: 2.504 - High Dec 21
*PRICE: 2.472 @ 2030GMT
*SUP 1: 2.459 - Low Dec 26 
*SUP 2: 2.443 - Hourly support Dec 19 
*SUP 3: 2.423 - Hourly support Dec 19a 
*SUP 4: 2.401 - Hourly resistance Dec 19 now support
*COMMENTARY: Bulls remain focused on 2.628-641 where 2016 & 2017 highs are
located following the most recent bounce from the bull channel base. The 2.423
support is now seen as key. Bears look for a close below 2.423 to confirm a
correction back to 2.344-2.381 where the bull channel base is located. Bulls now
need a close above 2.504 to add support to their case for tests of 2016 & 2017
highs.
JGB TECHS: (H18) Bulls Need Close Above 150.81 
*RES 4: 151.05 - High Dec 8
*RES 3: 151.01 - High Dec 18
*RES 2: 150.93 - Hourly support Dec 19 now resistance
*RES 1: 150.81 - Hourly support Dec 20 now resistance
*PRICE: 150.79 @ 2030GMT
*SUP 1: 150.65 - Hourly support Dec 21 
*SUP 2: 150.53 - Low Dec 21 
*SUP 3: 150.08 - Monthly Low Oct 3 
*SUP 4: 150.06 - Low July 20
*COMMENTARY: The lack of follow through on the marginal break of 150.54 is less
than ideal for bears who now look for a close below 150.53 to confirm focus on
150.06-19 where monthly lows are noted. Daily studies are well placed for
further losses. Bulls still need a close above 150.81 to ease bearish pressure
and shift initial focus back to 151.01-05 with potential for a move back to
151.19-21 where monthly highs are noted.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +44 207-862-7435; email: kyle.shortland@mni-news.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE]

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