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24 May 2018
By Kyle Shortland
Click below for today's MNI FI Technical Analysis Report -
http://tinyurl.com/phluope
AUSSIE 3-YR TECHS: (M18) Layers Of Resistance 97.801-884 
*RES 4: 97.865 - High Apr 10 
*RES 3: 97.820 - Highs May 7 & 8 
*RES 2: 97.819 - Daily Bear channel top 
*RES 1: 97.801 - 55-DMA
*PRICE: 97.785 @ 2130GMT
*SUP 1: 97.767 - 21-DMA 
*SUP 2: 97.735 - Hourly support May 21 
*SUP 3: 97.700 - Low May 17 
*SUP 4: 97.675 - 2018 Low Apr 24
*COMMENTARY: Support emerging ahead of 2018 lows last week has provided the
impetus for a close above the 21-DMA & 97.770 with immediate focus now on layers
of resistance 97.801-884 where 55, 100 & 200-DMAs and a bear channel top are
noted. The 21-DMA is now initial support but bears look for a close below 97.735
to return initial focus to 97.675-700 where 2018 lows are noted.
     AUSSIE 10-YR TECHS: (M18) 97.1500 Support Now Key 
*RES 4: 97.3179 - 200-WMA
*RES 3: 97.2669 - 200-DMA
*RES 2: 97.2319 - 55-DMA
*RES 1: 97.2136 - 100-DMA
*PRICE: 97.1950 @ 2130GMT
*SUP 1: 97.1714 - 21-DMA
*SUP 2: 97.1500 - Alternating daily support/resistance
*SUP 3: 97.1000 - Hourly resistance May 17 now support
*SUP 4: 97.0677 - Bollinger band base
*COMMENTARY: Bears have so far failed to gain traction below the LT weekly bull
channel base (97.1024). Bulls take comfort in the close above the 21-DMA that
sees focus now back on 97.2136-3179 where key DMAs and WMAs are situated. Daily
studies are well placed for gains with correcting O/S studies adding support to
the bullish case. Bears now need a close below 97.1500 to ease renewed bullish
pressure.
     US 10-YR FUTURE TECHS: (M18) Focus Shifts To 119-30+/120-06+
*RES 4: 120-06+ High Apr 19
*RES 3: 119-31+ High Apr 4
*RES 2: 119-30+ 55-DMA
*RES 1: 119-24+ High May 7
*PRICE: 119-12+ @ 2130GMT
*SUP 1: 119-07+ 21-DMA
*SUP 2: 118-31  Alternating daily support/resistance
*SUP 3: 118-19+ High May17 now support
*SUP 4: 118-10+ 2018 Low May 17
*COMMENTARY: The recovery from 2018 lows has resulted in a close above the
21-DMA and 119-07 level with focus shifting to 119-30+/120-06+ where the 55-DMA
is located. Daily studies are well placed for further gains. Bears now look for
a close below the 21-DMA to ease bullish pressure and below 118-31 to shift
focus back to 2018 lows and then the weekly bear channel base coming in around
116-30+ today.
     US 10-YR YIELD TECHS: Closes Below 21-DMA
*RES 4: 3.084 - High May 21 
*RES 3: 3.050 - Low May 22 
*RES 2: 3.030 - Hourly resistance May 23
*RES 1: 3.003 - 21-DMA
*PRICE: 2.994 @ 2130GMT
*SUP 1: 2.937 - Low May 7 
*SUP 2: 2.904 - Low Apr 20 
*SUP 3: 2.903 - 55-DMA 
*SUP 4: 2.876 - High Apr 18 now support
*COMMENTARY: The yield remains offered having sold-off Friday from around the
daily bull channel top with the close below the 21-DMA confirming a shift in
focus to 2.876-937 where the 55-DMA is located. Correcting O/B studies add
weight to the bearish case. Bulls now need a close above 3.050 to gain breathing
room and above 3.128 2018 highs to reconfirm the bullish bias and focus on
3.184-3.254 where channel tops and July 2011 monthly high are situated.
     JGB TECHS: (M18) Immediate Focus On 150.95
*RES 4: 151.15 - 2018 High Mar 2
*RES 3: 151.06 - High Mar 12
*RES 2: 151.03 - High Apr 12
*RES 1: 150.95 - Low Apr 12 now resistance, Bollinger top
*PRICE: 150.77 @ 2130GMT
*SUP 1: 150.84 - 55-DMA 
*SUP 2: 150.72 - 100-DMA, 200-DMA 
*SUP 3: 150.62 - Low May 16 
*SUP 4: 150.39 - Monthly Low Apr 26
*COMMENTARY: The close above the 55-DMA sees immediate focus back on the 150.95
resistance. Bulls now look for a close above this level to confirm initial focus
on 151.03-15 where 2018 highs are located. Daily studies are well placed for a
fresh leg higher. Bears now need a close below the 55-DMA to gain breathing room
and below the 200-DMA to sees 150.62 pressured.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +44 207-862-7435; email: kyle.shortland@mni-news.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE]

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