MNI BRIEF: Higher Defence Spend To Weigh On EU Ratings -Scope
MNI (LONDON) - Meeting a NATO defence spending target of 3% of GDP would increase EU member state budget deficits and debt while weakening sovereign credit profiles without cuts to other expenditure, tax increases or joint military funding, Scope Ratings said on Friday.
Member states would need to allocate an additional 0.8% of GDP each year to reach this level, though the impact relative to revenues varies widely across countries, Scope said.
Spain faces the largest budgetary impact of around 8.8% of central government revenues, followed by Germany and Belgium, both close to 7%. Spain and Belgium currently spend around 1.3% of GDP on defence.
However, once Germany’s EUR100 billion special defence expenditure fund is depleted by the end of 2026, its budgetary gap would be the largest at around 13.8% of central government revenues. (See MNI: EU Eyes National Escape Clauses To Boost Defence Spending )
Estimated Budgetary Effort Required to Reach 3% Of Defence Spending Target
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