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MNI BRIEF: Higher Inflation, Slower Growth In EC Forecasts

(MNI) LONDON
(MNI) London

The European Commission has revised its inflation forecasts for 2022 and 2023 higher and its growth outlook for next year lower, as the war in Ukraine and global supply chain issues continue to weigh on the economy.

Inflation is now seen at 7.6% in the eurozone (8.3% for the EU) in 2022, easing to 4.0% and 4.6% respectively in 2023. For the euro area, that compares to forecasts of 6.1% for 2022 and 2.1% for 2023 in the Spring forecasts.

Euro area growth is now seen lower at 2.6% in 2022 and 1.4% in 2023. The 2023 forecast is a 0.9pp cut from the Spring report. The report highlighted the jump in energy and food prices due to the Ukraine war, as well as slowing US growth and China's lockdowns as the key risks to growth.

MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com
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MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com
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