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MNI BRIEF: NZ's Q4 Retail Sales Fall As Rate Hikes Take Toll

MNI (PERTH)
(MNI) Perth

Forecasts for New Zealand's Q4 GDP may be marked down after Q4 retail sales printed weaker than expected, according to data released Monday by StatsNZ.

Retail sales declined 0.6% q/q, falling well short of expectations for a 0.2% q/q rise, showing households are tightening their belts amid elevated inflation and higher interest rates. Q3 retail sales growth was revised up to 0.6% q/q from 0.4% q/q. Q4 core sales volumes were down 1.3% q/q, showing retail sales values are being driven by higher prices.

A surveyed decline in consumer confidence telegraphs more weakness in spending, though the destruction following Cyclone Gabrielle may provide some support as new furnishings and appliances are bought. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand last week raised its Official Cash Rate by 50bp to 4.75%.

Robert covers RBA and RBNZ policy and the economy for MNI in Australia.
Robert covers RBA and RBNZ policy and the economy for MNI in Australia.

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