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MNI Chile Central Bank Preview - April 2024: Analyst Views

The majority of analyst forecasts within the Bloomberg survey are expecting the easing pace to be decelerated, with the BCCh cutting the MPR by 75bps to 6.5%. However, three analysts are calling for a bolder 100bp move.

Executive Summary:

  • Large inflation surprises since the last meeting, an increase in inflation expectations and a more cautious Fed stance support the case for a moderation in the pace of rate cuts this month
  • Weakness in CLP will also be a consideration, although BCCh commentary suggest that they think the pass-through to inflation has been limited
  • The majority of analyst forecasts within the Bloomberg survey are expecting the easing pace to be decelerated, with the BCCh cutting the MPR by 75bps to 6.5%. However, three analysts are calling for a bolder 100bp move.

Click to view the full preview:

MNI Chile Central Bank Preview - April 2024 - Analyst Views.pdf

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Executive Summary:

  • Large inflation surprises since the last meeting, an increase in inflation expectations and a more cautious Fed stance support the case for a moderation in the pace of rate cuts this month
  • Weakness in CLP will also be a consideration, although BCCh commentary suggest that they think the pass-through to inflation has been limited
  • The majority of analyst forecasts within the Bloomberg survey are expecting the easing pace to be decelerated, with the BCCh cutting the MPR by 75bps to 6.5%. However, three analysts are calling for a bolder 100bp move.

Click to view the full preview:

MNI Chile Central Bank Preview - April 2024 - Analyst Views.pdf