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MNI Chile Central Bank Review - May 2022: Retains Hawkish Bias

Executive Summary:

  • BCCh surprise markets, raising rates by 125bps vs. Exp. Hike of 100bps
  • Statement shows a board clearly concerned with external inflation environment
  • Hawkish statement puts policy closer to bank’s ‘worst case’ scenario
Full piece including summary of sell-side analyst views here:

MNIBCChRevMay22.pdf

The BCCh took markets by surprise in May, raising rates by 125bps against expectations for a 100bps rate rise. This ran against markets primed for the BCCh to slow the pace of tightening more aggressively and extends the bank’s tightening cycle to a total of 775bps.

The accompanying statement showed a board that remains of the view that the inflation outlook is a cause for concern, and that view has intensified since the prior meeting. As such, additional rate rises later this year are likely, and this week’s more activist approach could prompt markets to revise higher their terminal rate forecasts.

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