Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
MNI Chile Presidential Election Preview
Executive Summary
- Chileans will vote for their next President on Sunday, November 21.
- It is likely no candidate will receive a majority of votes and the two leading candidates will compete in a runoff on December 19.
- Final polling suggests Gabriel Boric and Jose Antonio Kast are the likely candidates to advance.
- With both candidates at opposite ends of the political spectrum, chances of social unrest remain high which may add further pressure to Chilean assets.
Click to view the full preview: Chile Presidential Election Preview.pdf
Final Polls Suggest Kast & Boric Favourites For Run-Off
The final polls released before the first round election, taking place 21 November, show Kast and Boric leading all other candidates.
Chart 1. Composite of Final Opinion Polls, %
Source: @americaelige, AtlasIntel, Activa/Pulso, UDD, Cadem. N.b. Kast = black, Boric = maroon/green, Sichel = yellow/blue, Provoste: red/yellow, Parisi = Grey, Enríquez-Ominami = Red
The constitutional convention, currently in the process of writing a new constitution for the country, has proved controversial. A second round campaign running through to December involving Kast and Boric runs the risk of turning very negative very quickly.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.