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MNI China Daily Summary: Friday, June 19

     BEIJING (MNI) - EXCLUSIVE: China would deploy its vast foreign reserves to
support Hong Kong's dollar peg if it ever came under serious pressure, policy
advisors told MNI, with an economist at Bank of China (Hong Kong) predicting
that the territory's currency would be supported by capital inflows for the rest
of the year thanks to interest rate differentials and share offerings. Continued
Sino-U.S. tensions could eventually prompt capital outflows, destabilising the
local financial market and undermining property prices, said one advisor in
Beijing, asking to remain anonymous. If coupled with a depressed economy, this
would erode the reserves which maintain the 36-year-old currency board keeping
the Hong Kong dollar within a band of 7.75-7.85 to the U.S. currency, he said,
pointing to fears that the U.S. could restrict the access of Hong Kong banks to
U.S. dollars.
     EXCLUSIVE: A CNY1 trillion sale of special Chinese Treasury bonds could
provide a boost to lower-returning infrastructure such as health, policy
advisors said, noting that the funds will be transferred on favourable terms to
regional governments whose participation in other initiatives aimed at financing
such spending has sometimes been lower than hoped for. A significant portion of
the CNY1 trillion would go towards health spending, said Zhang Yiqun, director
of a fiscal studies institute affiliated with Jilin province's finance
department. The central government will pay the interest on the Treasury bonds,
as well as CNY300 billion of the principal, increasing incentives to take on
spending which local administrations, already heavily-indebted, might otherwise
have shied away from.
     LIQUIDITY: The People's Bank of China (PBOC) injected CNY70 billion via
7-day reverse repos as well as CNY110 billion via 14-day reverse repos with
rates unchanged. This resulted in a net injection of CNY80 billion given the
maturity of CNY100 billion today, according to Wind Information. The operations
aim to maintain stable liquidity at the end of the half year, the PBOC said on
its website.
     RATES: The seven-day weighted average interbank repo rate for depository
institutions (DR007) rose to 2.1340% from Thursday's close 2.0884%, Wind
Information showed. The overnight repo average increased to 2.1349% from 2.1146%
on Thursday.
     YUAN: The currency strengthened to 7.0725 against the dollar from
Thursday's close of 7.0812. PBOC set the dollar-yuan central parity rate higher
at 7.0913, the highest in 10 trading days and up from the 7.0903 set on
Thursday.
     BONDS: The yield on 10-year China Government Bonds was last at 2.8825%, up
from Thursday's close of 2.8700, according to Wind Information.
     STOCKS: The Shanghai Composite Index rallied 0.96% to 2,967.63. Hong Kong's
Hang Seng Index gained 0.73% to 24,643.89.
     FROM THE PRESS: The PBOC may conduct 28-day reverse repos or cut banks'
reserve requirement ratios (RRR) to boost liquidity during the issuance of
special treasury bonds, the Shanghai Securities News reported. Some analysts
believed relying solely on reverse repo operations may not be enough, and
providing long-term low-cost funds via RRR cuts to banks can also help drive
down bond yields to a reasonable level, the newspaper said. The PBOC yesterday
restarted injecting liquidity through 14-day reverse repos for the first time
since February and also cut the operation rate by 20 bps.
     The Beijing municipal government's strict management of people travelling
out of the city is to block coronavirus transmission and not a complete
lockdown, Caixin reported citing Deputy Director of the Beijing Public Security
Bureau Pan Xuhong. People who have been in the Xinfadi wholesale market since
May 30 or have close contact with the market staff, as well as those living in
communities deemed as medium and high-risk are banned from leaving Beijing and
those planning to leave the city must hold a negative virus test within 7 days,
Caixin cited Pan as saying.
     Mortgage interest rates have fallen for the sixth month and rates in
second-tier cities declined faster than those in the first-tier, The Paper
reported. The average mortgage rate for first homes was 5.28% in June
nationwide, down 4 bps from May, while that for second homes fell 3 bps to 5.6%,
the newspaper said citing the Rong 360 Big Data Institute. This is mainly due to
the 10 bps cut to the 5-year LPR in April, the newspaper said citing Li Wanbin,
analyst at Rong 360. Li said that one LPR cut would generally lead to reductions
in mortgage rates for two consecutive months, the newspaper added.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: wanxia.lin@marketnews.com
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 10 8532 5998; email: william.bi@mni-news.com
[TOPICS: M$A$$$,M$Q$$$,MBQ$$$]

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