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Free AccessMNI DATA ANALYSIS: US Jobless Claims Fell 5,000 To 240,000>
--Initial Claims Reading Right On Expectations In MNI Survey
--Initial Claims 4-Week Avg Down 2,500 To 241,750, Could Fall Next Week
By Kevin Kastner, Sara Haire, and Holly Stokes
WASHINGTON (MNI) - Initial claims for U.S. state unemployment
benefits fell by 5,000 to 240,000 in the July 29 week, exactly as
expected, following a small upward revision to the claims level in the
previous week, data released by the Labor Department Thursday showed.
The four-week moving average for initial claims, a better measure
of the underlying trend of the data, fell by 2,500 to 241,750 in the
July 29 week.
If the number of headline claims does not change next week and
there are no revisions to data from the past four weeks, the four-week
average will fall by another 2,000 as the 248,000 level in the July 8
week rolls out of the calculation.
Seasonal adjustment factors had expected a decrease of 8.2%, or
18,136 in unadjusted claims in the week. Instead, unadjusted claims fell
by 22,549 to 198,028. The current week's level was well below the
219,202 level in the comparable week a year ago.
The level of continuing claims rose by 3,000 to 1.968 million in
the July 22 week, while the four-week moving average for continuing
claims rose by 750 to 1.965 million.
The seasonally adjusted insured unemployment rate held steady at
1.4% in the July 22 week for the 16th straight week. The current week's
rate is down from 1.6% in the same week a year earlier.
The unemployment rate among the insured labor force is well below
that reported monthly by the Labor Department because claims are
approved for the most part only for job losers, not the job leavers and
labor force reentrants included in the monthly report.
** MNI Washington Bureau: 202-371-2121 **
[TOPICS: MAUDS$,M$U$$$,MAUDR$]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.