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MNI DATA BRIEF: Canada CPI Again Seen Above BOC Range

Source: Bank of Canada
(MNI) OTTAWA
(MNI) Ottawa

Canadian inflation likely quickened to 3.4% in July from 3.1% in June according to an economist consensus, keeping it above the top of the central bank's 1%-3% target band for a fourth month.

Energy costs, some base effects against comparisons to last year's weakness, and rising service costs as the economy re-opened are expected to push prices up. The expected increase in the Statistics Canada report due at 830EST would move inflation closer back towards the decade-high pace of 3.6% set in May.

The BOC last month affirmed its view that price gains are transitory, while scaling back QE and holding a record low 0.25% interest rate. The bank also raised inflation forecasts, predicting CPI of 3.9% in the third quarter and 3.5% in the fourth quarter. The cost of living has become an issue in Canada's election campaign launched Sunday for Sept. 20, with opposition Conservatives attacking Liberal PM Justin Trudeau for rising food and housing prices.

Source: Stats Canada

MNI Ottawa Bureau | +1 613-314-9647 | greg.quinn@marketnews.com
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MNI Ottawa Bureau | +1 613-314-9647 | greg.quinn@marketnews.com
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