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MNI DATA FORECASTS: EZ Inflation, US Jobs data to the fore

Forecasts for data releases in the week commencing January 30

DateGMT/LocalImpactPeriodFlagCountryReleasePriorConsensus
30/01/20230800/0900***JanESHICP (p) m/m0.0-1.9%
30/01/20230800/0900***JanESHICP (p) y/y5.54.7%
30/01/20230800/0900*JanCHKOF Economic Barometer92.293.3
30/01/20230900/1000***Q4DEGDP (p) q/q0.40.0%
30/01/20230900/1000***Q4DEGDP (p) y/y wda1.31.3%
30/01/20231000/1100**DecITPPI m/m3.3--%
30/01/20231000/1100**DecITPPI y/y35.7--%
30/01/20231530/1030**JanUSDallas Fed manufacturing index-18.8-15.5
30/01/20231630/1130*03-FebUSBid to Cover Ratio----
30/01/20231630/1130*03-FebUSBid to Cover Ratio----
31/01/20232350/0850**DecJPIndustrial production m/m----%
31/01/20230030/1130**JanAURetail Trade m/m1.4-0.2%
31/01/20230130/0930***JanCNCFLP Manufacturing PMI47.0--
31/01/20230130/0930**JanCNCFLP Non-Manufacturing PMI41.6--
31/01/20230630/0730**NovFRConsumer Spending y/y-5.2-4.2%
31/01/20230630/0730**NovFRConsumer Spending m/m0.50.2%
31/01/20230630/0730***Q4FRGDP (p) q/q0.20.0%
31/01/20230630/0730***Q4FRGDP (p) y/y1.00.5%
31/01/20230700/0800**NovDERetail Sales m/m1.1-0.2%
31/01/20230700/0800**NovDERetail Sales y/y-5.7-2.6%
31/01/20230730/0830**NovCHRetail Sales m/m1.5--%
31/01/20230730/0830**NovCHRetail Sales wda y/y-1.3--%
31/01/20230745/0845***DecFRHICP m/m (p)-0.10.4%
31/01/20230745/0845***DecFRHICP y/y (p)6.77.0%
31/01/20230745/0845**DecFRPPI m/m1.2--%
31/01/20230745/0845**DecFRPPI y/y21.5--%
31/01/20230855/0955**JanDEUnemployment Change m/m-13.05.5
31/01/20230855/0955**JanDEUnemployment Rate5.55.5%
31/01/20230930/0930**DecUKM4 Money Supply m/m-1.6--%
31/01/20230930/0930**DecUKM4 Money Supply y/y2.5--%
31/01/20230930/0930**DecUKMortgage Approvals (BOE)46075.042.5
31/01/20230930/0930**DecUKNet Consumer Credit (BOE)1.507--GBP (b)
31/01/20230930/0930**DecUKNet Lending On Dwellings4.3583.7GBP (b)
31/01/20231000/1100***Q4ITGDP (p) q/q0.5-0.1%
31/01/20231000/1100***Q4ITGDP (p) y/y2.61.6%
31/01/20231000/1100***Q4EUEMU PRELIMINARY FLASH GDP Q/Q0.3-0.1%
31/01/20231000/1100***Q4EUEMU PRELIMINARY FLASH GDP Y/Y2.31.7%
31/01/20231300/1400***JanDEHICP (p) m/m-1.21.4%
31/01/20231300/1400***JanDEHICP (p) y/y9.610.2%
31/01/20231330/0830***NovCAGDP m/m0.1--%
31/01/20231330/0830***NovCAPrev GDP m/m, Rev0.2--%
31/01/20231330/0830**Q4USECI1.21.1%
31/01/20231355/0855**28-JanUSRedbook Retail Sales y/y (month)----%
31/01/20231355/0855**28-JanUSRedbook Retail Sales y/y (week)----%
31/01/20231400/0900**NovUSCase-Shiller Home Price Index----
31/01/20231400/0900**NovUSFHFA Home Price Index m/m0.0-0.5%
31/01/20231400/0900**NovUSPrior Revised HPI % Chge mm SA0.1--%
31/01/20231445/0945**JanUSMNI Chicago PMI44.945.3
31/01/20231500/1000***JanUSConference Board confidence108.3109.0
31/01/20231500/1000***JanUSPrevious Consumer Confidence Index Revised----
31/01/20231500/1000**Q4UShousing vacancies rate----%
31/01/20231530/1030**JanUSDallas Fed services index----
01/02/20232200/0900**DecAUIHS Markit Manufacturing PMI (f)49.8--
01/02/20230001/0001*FebUKBRC Shop Price Index m/m0.3--%
01/02/20230001/0001*FebUKBRC Shop Price Index y/y7.3--%
01/02/20230030/0930**JanJPIHS Markit Manufacturing PMI (f)48.9--
01/02/20230145/0945**JanCNIHS Markit Manufacturing PMI (f)----
01/02/20230815/0915**JanESIHS Markit Manufacturing PMI (f)----
01/02/20230845/0945**JanITS&P Global Manufacturing PMI (f)----
01/02/20230850/0950**JanFRIHS Markit Manufacturing PMI (f)----
01/02/20230855/0955**JanDEIHS Markit Manufacturing PMI (f)----
01/02/20230900/1000**JanEUIHS Markit Manufacturing PMI (f)----
01/02/20230930/0930**JanUKS&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Final)----
01/02/20231000/1100***FebITHICP (p) m/m0.2-1.5%
01/02/20231000/1100***FebITHICP (p) y/y12.310.7%
01/02/20231000/1100***FebEUHICP (p) 'core' y/y5.25.1%
01/02/20231000/1100***FebEUHICP (p) y/y9.29.0%
01/02/20231000/1100**DecEUUnemployment6.56.5%
01/02/20231200/0700**27-JanUSMBA Mortgage Applications w/w----%
01/02/2023-***JanUSNA-made light vehicle sales SAAR---- (m)
01/02/20231315/0815***JanUSADP Private Payrolls235165 (k)
01/02/20231445/0945***JanUSIHS Markit Mfg Index (final)46.846.8
01/02/20231500/1000***JanUSISM Manufacturing Index48.448.0
01/02/20231500/1000*DecUSConstruction Spending m/m0.20.0%
01/02/20231500/1000**DecUSJOLTS job openings level10458.010300 (k)
01/02/20231500/1000**DecUSJOLTS quits rate2.7--%
01/02/20231530/1030**27-JanUSCrude Oil Stocks ex. SPR w/w----bbl (m)
01/02/20231530/1030**27-JanUSDistillate Stocks w/w change----bbl (m)
01/02/20231530/1030**27-JanUSGasoline Stocks w/w change----bbl (m)
01/02/20231900/1400***USFederal Funds Rate Range Maximum4.5--%
01/02/20231900/1400***USMedian Projection of Fed Funds Rate at End of 2023----%
01/02/20231900/1400***USMedian Projection of Fed Funds Rate at End of 2024----%
01/02/20231900/1400***USMedian Projection of Fed Funds Rate at End of 2025----%
02/02/20230030/1130*FebAUTotal Dwellings Approved m/m-9.01.0%
02/02/20230700/0800**DecDETrade balance exports m/m-0.3-3.5%
02/02/20230700/0800**DecDETrade balance imports m/m-3.3-2.5%
02/02/20230700/0800**DecDETrade balance m/m10.88.0E (b)
02/02/20231200/1200***UKBank of England Bank Rate3.54.0%
02/02/20231200/1200***UKBank of England Bank Rate3.54.0%
02/02/20231315/1415***EUECB Deposit Rate2.02.5%
02/02/20231315/1415***EUECB Refinancing Rate2.5--%
02/02/20231315/1415***EUECB Lending Rate %2.753.25%
02/02/20231330/0830*DecCABuilding Permits----%
02/02/20231330/0830**28-JanUSContinuing Claims16751685 (k)
02/02/20231330/0830**28-JanUSInitial Jobless Claims186200 (k)
02/02/20231330/0830**28-JanUSPrev Continuing Claims, Rev---- (k)
02/02/20231330/0830**28-JanUSPrev Initial Jobless Claims, Rev---- (k)
02/02/20231330/0830**26-JanUSCorn Net Sales----MT (k)
02/02/20231330/0830**26-JanUSCorn Weekly Exports----MT (k)
02/02/20231330/0830**26-JanUSSoy Net Sales----MT (k)
02/02/20231330/0830**26-JanUSSoy Weekly Exports----MT (k)
02/02/20231330/0830**26-JanUSWheat Net Sales----MT (k)
02/02/20231330/0830**26-JanUSWheat Weekly Exports----MT (k)
02/02/20231330/0830**Q4USPrevious Non-Farm Productivity Revised----%
02/02/20231330/0830**Q4USPrevious Non-Farm Productivity Unit Labor Revised----%
02/02/20231330/0830**Q4USnon-farm productivity (p)0.82.5%
02/02/20231330/0830**Q4USunit labor costs (p)2.41.5%
02/02/20231500/1000**DecUSFactory New Orders-1.82.4%
02/02/20231500/1000**DecUSFactory Orders ex-transport-0.8--%
02/02/20231530/1030**27-JanUSNatural Gas Stocks w/w----Bcf
03/02/20232200/0900*JanAUIHS Markit Final Australia Services PMI48.3--
03/02/20230030/0930**JanJPIHS Markit Services PMI (f)52.4--
03/02/20230145/0945**JanCNIHS Markit Services PMI (f)----
03/02/20230700/0800*FebNOUnemployment Rate1.61.8%
03/02/20230745/0845*DecFRIndustrial Production m/m2.00.2%
03/02/20230745/0845*DecFRIndustrial Production y/y0.70.9%
03/02/20230745/0845*DecFRManufacturing Prod m/m2.4--%
03/02/20230745/0845*DecFRManufacturing Prod y/y4.2--%
03/02/20230815/0915**JanESS&P Global Services PMI (f)----
03/02/20230845/0945**JanITS&P Global Services PMI (f)----
03/02/20230850/0950**JanFRIHS Markit Services PMI (f)----
03/02/20230855/0955**JanDEIHS Markit Services PMI (f)----
03/02/20230900/1000**JanEUIHS Markit Services PMI (f)----
03/02/20230930/0930**JanUKS&P Global Services PMI (Final)----
03/02/20231000/1100**DecEUPPI m/m-0.9--%
03/02/20231000/1100**DecEUPPI y/y27.1--%
03/02/20231330/0830***JanUSAverage Hourly Earnings, m/m0.30.3%
03/02/20231330/0830***JanUSAverage Workweek, All Workers34.334.3hrs
03/02/20231330/0830***JanUSNonfarm Payrolls223.0188 (k)
03/02/20231330/0830***JanUSPrev Nonfarm Payrolls, Rev256.0-- (k)
03/02/20231330/0830***JanUSPrivate Payrolls220.0178 (k)
03/02/20231330/0830***JanUSUnemployment Rate3.53.6%
03/02/20231445/0945***JanUSIHS Markit Services Index (final)46.6--
03/02/20231500/1000***JanUSISM Non-manufacturing Index49.650.5
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com
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MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com
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