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MNI DATA FORECASTS: Fireworks Expected Ahead Of US Jobs Report

Forecasts for data releases in the week commencing July 2.

(MNI) LONDON
DateGMT/LocalImpactPeriodFlagCountryReleasePriorConsensus
03/07/20232300/0900**JunAUS&P Global Manufacturing PMI (f)48.6--
03/07/20232350/0850***Q2JPMajor mfg diffusion index13
03/07/20232350/0850***Q2JPMajor non-mfg DI2022
03/07/20230030/0930**JunJPS&P Global Manufacturing PMI (f)49.8--
03/07/20230130/1130*JulAUTotal Dwellings Approved m/m-8.13.0%
03/07/20230130/1130**JulAUNew Home Loans m/m-3.8--%
03/07/20230145/0945**JunCNS&P Global Manufacturing PMI (f)----
03/07/20230630/0830***JunCHCPI m/m0.30.2%
03/07/20230630/0830***JunCHCPI y/y2.21.9%
03/07/20230700/0300*JunTRCPI m/m0.044.6%
03/07/20230715/0915**JunESS&P Global Manufacturing PMI48.447.9
03/07/20230745/0945**JunITS&P Global Manufacturing PMI45.945.4
03/07/20230750/0950**JunFRS&P Global Manufacturing PMI (f)45.545.5
03/07/20230755/0955**JunDES&P Global Manufacturing PMI (f)41.041.0
03/07/20230800/1000**JunEUS&P Global Manufacturing PMI (f)43.643.6
03/07/20230830/0930**JunUKS&P Global Manufacturing PMI (f)46.246.2
03/07/2023-***JunUSNA-made light vehicle sales SAAR---- (m)
03/07/20231345/0945***JunUSS&P Global Manufacturing PMI (f)46.946.9
03/07/20231400/1000***JunUSISM Man. Employment Index51.4--
03/07/20231400/1000***JunUSISM Manufacturing Index46.947.1
03/07/20231400/1000***JunUSISM Manufacturing New Orders42.6--
03/07/20231400/1000***JunUSISM Manufacturing Prices Index44.2--
03/07/20231400/1000*MayUSConstruction Spending m/m1.20.4%
03/07/20231400/1000*07-JulUSBid to Cover Ratio----
03/07/20231530/1130*07-JulUSBid to Cover Ratio----
03/07/20231530/1130*07-JulUSBid to Cover Ratio----
04/07/20230430/1430***AUInterest Rate4.14.1%
04/07/20230430/1430***AUInterest Rate Change0.250%
04/07/20230600/0800**MayDETrade balance exports m/m1.20.4%
04/07/20230600/0800**MayDETrade balance imports m/m-1.70.1%
04/07/20230600/0800**MayDETrade balance m/m18.417.0E (b)
05/07/20232300/0900*JunAUS&P Global Services PMI (f)50.7--
05/07/20230030/0930**JunJPS&P Global Services PMI (f)54.2--
05/07/20230145/0945**JunCNIHS Markit Services PMI (f)----
05/07/20230645/0845*MayFRIndustrial Production m/m0.8--%
05/07/20230645/0845*MayFRIndustrial Production y/y1.30.6%
05/07/20230645/0845*MayFRManufacturing Prod m/m0.7--%
05/07/20230645/0845*MayFRManufacturing Prod y/y2.1--%
05/07/20230700/0900**MayESIndustrial Production y/y0.9-0.4%
05/07/20230715/0915**JunESS&P Global Services PMI56.755.8
05/07/20230745/0945**JunITS&P Global Services PMI54.053.4
05/07/20230750/0950**JunFRS&P Global Services PMI (f)48.048.0
05/07/20230755/0955**JunDES&P Global Services PMI (f)54.154.1
05/07/20230800/1000**JunEUS&P Global Services PMI (f)52.452.4
05/07/20230830/0930**JunUKS&P Global Services PMI (f)53.753.7
05/07/20230900/1100**MayEUPPI m/m-3.2-1.7%
05/07/20230900/1100**MayEUPPI y/y1.0-1.4%
05/07/20230900/1000**07-JulUKBid to Cover Ratio----
05/07/20231255/0855**01-JulUSRedbook Retail Sales y/y (month)0.6--%
05/07/20231255/0855**01-JulUSRedbook Retail Sales y/y (week)0.5--%
05/07/20231400/1000**JulUSIBD/TIPP Optimism Index41.7--
05/07/20231400/1000**MayUSFactory New Orders0.40.6%
05/07/20231400/1000**MayUSFactory Orders ex-transport-0.2--%
06/07/20230130/1130**JulAUTrade Balance11158.010700AUD (m)
06/07/20230600/0800**MayDEManufacturing Orders m/m-0.4--%
06/07/20230730/0930**JunEUIHS Markit Construction PMI----
06/07/20230830/0930**JunUKS&P Global Construction PMI51.651.0
06/07/20230900/1100**MayEURetail Sales m/m0.00.2%
06/07/20230900/1100**MayEURetail Sales y/y wda-2.6-2.6%
06/07/20231100/0700**30-JunUSMBA Mortgage Applications w/w3.0--%
06/07/20231215/0815***JunUSADP Private Payrolls278250 (k)
06/07/20231230/0830**01-JulUSContinuing Claims1742-- (k)
06/07/20231230/0830**01-JulUSInitial Jobless Claims239248 (k)
06/07/20231230/0830**01-JulUSPrev Continuing Claims, Rev---- (k)
06/07/20231230/0830**01-JulUSPrev Initial Jobless Claims, Rev---- (k)
06/07/20231230/0830**MayCAPrev Trade Balance, Rev----CAD (b)
06/07/20231230/0830**MayCATrade Balance-74.6-62.8CAD (b)
06/07/20231230/0830**MayUSWholesale Inventories m/m-0.1--%
06/07/20231230/0830**MayUSWholesale Sales m/m0.2--%
06/07/20231345/0945***JunUSS&P Global Services Index (f)54.1--
06/07/20231400/1000***JunUSISM Services Employment Index49.2--
06/07/20231400/1000***JunUSISM Services Index50.351.3
06/07/20231400/1000***JunUSISM Services New Orders----
06/07/20231400/1000***JunUSISM Services Prices Index56.2--
06/07/20231400/1000**MayUSJOLTS job openings level10103.0-- (k)
06/07/20231400/1000**MayUSJOLTS quits rate2.4--%
06/07/20231500/1100**30-JunUSCrude Oil Stocks ex. SPR w/w-9.603--bbl (m)
06/07/20231500/1100**30-JunUSDistillate Stocks w/w change0.123--bbl (m)
06/07/20231500/1100**30-JunUSGasoline Stocks w/w change0.603--bbl (m)
07/07/20230545/0745**JunCHUnemployment Rate2.02.0%
07/07/20230545/0745**JunCHUnemployment m/m-2.7--%
07/07/20230545/0745**JunCHUnemployment y/y-10.1--%
07/07/20230600/0800**MayDEIndustrial Production m/m0.30.0%
07/07/20230600/0800**JunNOGDP Mainland m/m-0.40.4%
07/07/20230600/0800**JunNOGDP m/m-0.3--%
07/07/20230600/0800**JunSEPrivate Sector Production----%
07/07/20230645/0845*MayFRForeign Trade-9.710--E (b)
07/07/20230800/1000*MayITRetail Sales m/m0.2--%
07/07/20230800/1000*MayITRetail Sales y/y nsa3.2--%
07/07/20231230/0830***JunCAEmployment-17.3-- (k)
07/07/20231230/0830***JunCAUnemployment Rate5.2--%
07/07/20231230/0830***JunUSAverage Hourly Earnings, m/m0.30.3%
07/07/20231230/0830***JunUSAverage Workweek, All Workers34.334.3hrs
07/07/20231230/0830***JunUSNonfarm Payrolls339.0200 (k)
07/07/20231230/0830***JunUSPrev Nonfarm Payrolls, Rev294.0-- (k)
07/07/20231230/0830***JunUSPrivate Payrolls283.0193 (k)
07/07/20231230/0830***JunUSUnemployment Rate3.73.7%
07/07/20231230/0830**06-JulUSCorn Net Sales140.4--MT (k)
07/07/20231230/0830**06-JulUSCorn Weekly Exports605.3--MT (k)
07/07/20231230/0830**06-JulUSSoy Net Sales227.4--MT (k)
07/07/20231230/0830**06-JulUSSoy Weekly Exports191.0--MT (k)
07/07/20231230/0830**06-JulUSWheat Net Sales155.2--MT (k)
07/07/20231230/0830**06-JulUSWheat Weekly Exports157.6--MT (k)
07/07/20231400/1000*JunCAIvey PMI (SA)53.5--
07/07/20231430/1030**30-JunUSNatural Gas Stocks w/w76.0--Bcf
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com
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MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com
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