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MNI BRIEF: RBA Holds At 4.35% On Light Data

RBA SAYS FURTHER TIGHTENING WILL "DEPEND UPON THE DATA"

MNI: RBA HOLDS CASH RATE AT 4.35%

Futures Consolidate On Tuesday

EZ/UK Bond Supply Calendar: Italy Exchange, Green Gilt Due Wed

EZ/UK T-Bill Calendar: Greece, EU Auction Wednesday

MNI BRIEF: Lawmakers Signal Tough Hearing For BOC's Macklem

MNI BRIEF:Macklem-Fiscal Policy Turning Unhelpful On CPI Fight

MNI BRIEF: Stabilizing Prices Helps BOC Turn Neutral-Freeland

MNI DATA FORECASTS: With No Shut-Down, US Jobs Data To Fore

(MNI) LONDON

Forecasts for the coming week's main data releases.

DataCalendarData CalendarGlobalStoryRegion
True
Date GMT/Local Impact Period Flag Country Release Prior Consensus
02/10/2023 0030/0930 ** Sep JP S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (f) 49.6 --
02/10/2023 0630/0830 ** Sep CH Retail Sales m/m -2.3 -- %
02/10/2023 0630/0830 ** Sep CH Retail Sales wda y/y -2.2 -- %
02/10/2023 0715/0915 ** Sep ES S&P Global Manufacturing PMI 46.5 46.4
02/10/2023 0745/0945 ** Sep IT S&P Global Manufacturing PMI 45.4 45.8
02/10/2023 0750/0950 ** Sep FR S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (f) 46.0 43.6
02/10/2023 0755/0955 ** Sep DE S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (f) 39.1 39.8
02/10/2023 0800/1000 ** Sep EU S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (f) 43.5 43.4
02/10/2023 0830/0930 ** Sep UK S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (f) 43.0 44.2
02/10/2023 0900/1100 ** Aug EU Unemployment 6.4 6.4 %
02/10/2023 1345/0945 *** Sep US S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (f) 48.9 48.9
02/10/2023 1400/1000 *** Sep US ISM Man. Employment Index 48.5 --
02/10/2023 1400/1000 *** Sep US ISM Manufacturing Index 47.6 47.8
02/10/2023 1400/1000 *** Sep US ISM Manufacturing New Orders 46.8 --
02/10/2023 1400/1000 *** Sep US ISM Manufacturing Prices Index 48.4 48.8
02/10/2023 1400/1000 * Aug US Construction Spending m/m 0.70 0.60 %
02/10/2023 1530/1130 * 06-Oct US Bid to Cover Ratio -- --
02/10/2023 1530/1130 * 06-Oct US Bid to Cover Ratio -- --
03/10/2023 2301/0001 * Oct UK BRC Shop Price Index m/m 0.5 -- %
03/10/2023 2301/0001 * Oct UK BRC Shop Price Index y/y 6.9 -- %
03/10/2023 0030/1130 * Aug AU Total Dwellings Approved m/m -8.1 2.8 %
03/10/2023 0030/1130 ** Aug AU New Home Loans m/m -1.9 -- %
03/10/2023 0330/1430 *** AU Interest Rate 4.10 4.10 %
03/10/2023 0330/1430 *** AU Interest Rate Change 0.00 0.00 %
03/10/2023 0630/0830 *** Sep CH CPI m/m 0.2 0.0 %
03/10/2023 0630/0830 *** Sep CH CPI y/y 1.6 1.8 %
03/10/2023 0700/0300 * Sep TR CPI m/m 9.09 4.75 %
03/10/2023 1255/0855 ** 30-Sep US Redbook Retail Sales y/y (month) 4.0 -- %
03/10/2023 1255/0855 ** 30-Sep US Redbook Retail Sales y/y (week) 3.8 -- %
03/10/2023 1400/1000 ** Oct US IBD/TIPP Optimism Index 43.2 --
03/10/2023 1400/1000 ** Aug US JOLTS job openings level 8827 8900 (k)
03/10/2023 1400/1000 ** Aug US JOLTS quits rate 2.3 -- %
03/10/2023 - *** Sep US NA-made light vehicle sales SAAR 15.04 15.40 (m)
03/10/2023 1530/1130 * 06-Oct US Bid to Cover Ratio -- --
03/10/2023 1530/1130 ** Sep US Bid to Cover Ratio -- --
04/10/2023 2200/0900 * Sep AU S&P Global Services PMI (f) 47.8 --
04/10/2023 0030/0930 ** Sep JP S&P Global Services PMI (f) 54.3 --
04/10/2023 0100/1400 *** Oct NZ RBNZ OCR 5.5 5.5 %
04/10/2023 0715/0915 ** Sep ES S&P Global Services PMI 49.3 49.7
04/10/2023 0745/0945 ** Sep IT S&P Global Services PMI 49.8 50.1
04/10/2023 0750/0950 ** Sep FR S&P Global Services PMI (f) 46.0 43.9
04/10/2023 0755/0955 ** Sep DE S&P Global Services PMI (f) 47.3 49.8
04/10/2023 0800/1000 ** Sep EU S&P Global Services PMI (f) 47.9 48.4
04/10/2023 0830/0930 ** Sep UK S&P Global Services PMI (f) 49.5 47.2
04/10/2023 0900/1100 ** Aug EU PPI m/m -0.5 0.6 %
04/10/2023 0900/1100 ** Aug EU PPI y/y -7.6 -11.6 %
04/10/2023 0900/1100 ** Aug EU Retail Sales m/m -0.2 -0.5 %
04/10/2023 0900/1100 ** Aug EU Retail Sales y/y wda -1.0 -1.3 %
04/10/2023 0900/1000 ** 06-Oct UK Bid to Cover Ratio -- --
04/10/2023 1100/0700 ** 29-Sep US MBA Mortgage Applications w/w -1.30 -- %
04/10/2023 1215/0815 *** Sep US ADP Private Payrolls 177 150 (k)
04/10/2023 1345/0945 *** Sep US S&P Global Services Index (f) 50.2 50.2
04/10/2023 1400/1000 *** Sep US ISM Services Employment Index 54.7 --
04/10/2023 1400/1000 *** Sep US ISM Services Index 54.5 53.5
04/10/2023 1400/1000 *** Sep US ISM Services New Orders 57.5 --
04/10/2023 1400/1000 *** Sep US ISM Services Prices Index 58.9 --
04/10/2023 1400/1000 ** Aug US Factory New Orders -2.10 0.20 %
04/10/2023 1400/1000 ** Aug US Factory Orders ex-transport 0.80 -- %
04/10/2023 1430/1030 ** 29-Sep US Crude Oil Stocks ex. SPR w/w -- -- bbl (m)
04/10/2023 1430/1030 ** 29-Sep US Distillate Stocks w/w change -- -- bbl (m)
04/10/2023 1430/1030 ** 29-Sep US Gasoline Stocks w/w change -- -- bbl (m)
05/10/2023 0030/1130 ** Oct AU Trade Balance 8039 8749 AUD (m)
05/10/2023 0600/0800 ** Aug DE Trade balance exports m/m -0.9 -1.0 %
05/10/2023 0600/0800 ** Aug DE Trade balance imports m/m 1.4 0.5 %
05/10/2023 0600/0800 ** Aug DE Trade balance m/m -2.8 -- E (b)
05/10/2023 0645/0845 * Aug FR Industrial Production m/m 0.8 -- %
05/10/2023 0645/0845 * Aug FR Industrial Production y/y 2.7 -- %
05/10/2023 0645/0845 * Aug FR Manufacturing Prod m/m 0.7 -- %
05/10/2023 0645/0845 * Aug FR Manufacturing Prod y/y 2.7 -- %
05/10/2023 0700/0900 ** Aug ES Industrial Production y/y -1.8 -- %
05/10/2023 0730/0930 ** Sep EU IHS Markit Construction PMI 43.4 --
05/10/2023 0830/0930 ** Sep UK S&P Global Construction PMI 50.8 50.0
05/10/2023 1230/0830 *** 30-Sep US Continuing Claims 1670 -- (k)
05/10/2023 1230/0830 *** 30-Sep US Initial Jobless Claims 204 -- (k)
05/10/2023 1230/0830 *** 30-Sep US Prev Continuing Claims, Rev -- -- (k)
05/10/2023 1230/0830 *** 30-Sep US Prev Initial Jobless Claims, Rev -- -- (k)
05/10/2023 1230/0830 ** 28-Sep US Corn Net Sales -- -- MT (k)
05/10/2023 1230/0830 ** 28-Sep US Corn Weekly Exports -- -- MT (k)
05/10/2023 1230/0830 ** 28-Sep US Soy Net Sales -- -- MT (k)
05/10/2023 1230/0830 ** 28-Sep US Soy Weekly Exports -- -- MT (k)
05/10/2023 1230/0830 ** 28-Sep US Wheat Net Sales -- -- MT (k)
05/10/2023 1230/0830 ** 28-Sep US Wheat Weekly Exports -- -- MT (k)
05/10/2023 1230/0830 ** Aug CA Prev Trade Balance, Rev -- -- CAD (b)
05/10/2023 1230/0830 ** Aug CA Trade Balance -0.99 -1.4 CAD (b)
05/10/2023 1230/0830 ** Aug US Previous Trade Deficit Revised -- -- USD (b)
05/10/2023 1230/0830 ** Aug US Trade Balance -65.0 -65.2 USD (b)
05/10/2023 1400/1000 * Sep CA Ivey PMI (SA) 53.5 --
05/10/2023 1430/1030 ** 29-Sep US Natural Gas Stocks w/w -- -- Bcf
06/10/2023 0545/0745 ** Sep CH Unemployment Rate 2.0 2.0 %
06/10/2023 0545/0745 ** Sep CH Unemployment m/m 0.1 -- %
06/10/2023 0545/0745 ** Sep CH Unemployment y/y -1.6 -- %
06/10/2023 0600/0800 ** Aug DE Manufacturing Orders m/m -11.7 1.5 %
06/10/2023 0645/0845 * Aug FR Foreign Trade -8.089 -- E (b)
06/10/2023 0800/1000 * Aug IT Retail Sales m/m 0.4 0.0 %
06/10/2023 0800/1000 * Aug IT Retail Sales y/y nsa 2.7 -- %
06/10/2023 1230/0830 *** Sep CA Employment 39.9 5.6 (k)
06/10/2023 1230/0830 *** Sep CA Unemployment Rate 5.50 -- %
06/10/2023 1230/0830 *** Sep US Average Hourly Earnings, m/m 0.20 0.30 %
06/10/2023 1230/0830 *** Sep US Average Workweek, All Workers 34.4 34.4 hrs
06/10/2023 1230/0830 *** Sep US Nonfarm Payrolls 187 165 (k)
06/10/2023 1230/0830 *** Sep US Prev Nonfarm Payrolls, Rev -- -- (k)
06/10/2023 1230/0830 *** Sep US Private Payrolls 179 150 (k)
06/10/2023 1230/0830 *** Sep US Unemployment Rate 3.80 3.70 %
06/10/2023 1900/1500 * Aug US Consumer Credit m/m 10.4 11.3 USD (b)
09/10/2023 0600/0800 ** Aug DE Industrial Production m/m -- -- %
09/10/2023 0600/0800 ** Aug NO GDP Mainland m/m -- -- %
09/10/2023 0600/0800 ** Aug NO GDP m/m -- -- %
09/10/2023 1500/1100 ** Oct US NY Fed 1y Cons Infl Exp (med) -- -- %
09/10/2023 1500/1100 ** Oct US NY Fed 3y Cons Infl Exp (med) -- -- %
09/10/2023 1500/1100 ** Oct US NY Fed 5y Cons Infl Exp (med) -- -- %
1264 words

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Date GMT/Local Impact Period Flag Country Release Prior Consensus
02/10/2023 0030/0930 ** Sep JP S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (f) 49.6 --
02/10/2023 0630/0830 ** Sep CH Retail Sales m/m -2.3 -- %
02/10/2023 0630/0830 ** Sep CH Retail Sales wda y/y -2.2 -- %
02/10/2023 0715/0915 ** Sep ES S&P Global Manufacturing PMI 46.5 46.4
02/10/2023 0745/0945 ** Sep IT S&P Global Manufacturing PMI 45.4 45.8
02/10/2023 0750/0950 ** Sep FR S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (f) 46.0 43.6
02/10/2023 0755/0955 ** Sep DE S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (f) 39.1 39.8
02/10/2023 0800/1000 ** Sep EU S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (f) 43.5 43.4
02/10/2023 0830/0930 ** Sep UK S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (f) 43.0 44.2
02/10/2023 0900/1100 ** Aug EU Unemployment 6.4 6.4 %
02/10/2023 1345/0945 *** Sep US S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (f) 48.9 48.9
02/10/2023 1400/1000 *** Sep US ISM Man. Employment Index 48.5 --
02/10/2023 1400/1000 *** Sep US ISM Manufacturing Index 47.6 47.8
02/10/2023 1400/1000 *** Sep US ISM Manufacturing New Orders 46.8 --
02/10/2023 1400/1000 *** Sep US ISM Manufacturing Prices Index 48.4 48.8
02/10/2023 1400/1000 * Aug US Construction Spending m/m 0.70 0.60 %
02/10/2023 1530/1130 * 06-Oct US Bid to Cover Ratio -- --
02/10/2023 1530/1130 * 06-Oct US Bid to Cover Ratio -- --
03/10/2023 2301/0001 * Oct UK BRC Shop Price Index m/m 0.5 -- %
03/10/2023 2301/0001 * Oct UK BRC Shop Price Index y/y 6.9 -- %
03/10/2023 0030/1130 * Aug AU Total Dwellings Approved m/m -8.1 2.8 %
03/10/2023 0030/1130 ** Aug AU New Home Loans m/m -1.9 -- %
03/10/2023 0330/1430 *** AU Interest Rate 4.10 4.10 %
03/10/2023 0330/1430 *** AU Interest Rate Change 0.00 0.00 %
03/10/2023 0630/0830 *** Sep CH CPI m/m 0.2 0.0 %
03/10/2023 0630/0830 *** Sep CH CPI y/y 1.6 1.8 %
03/10/2023 0700/0300 * Sep TR CPI m/m 9.09 4.75 %
03/10/2023 1255/0855 ** 30-Sep US Redbook Retail Sales y/y (month) 4.0 -- %
03/10/2023 1255/0855 ** 30-Sep US Redbook Retail Sales y/y (week) 3.8 -- %
03/10/2023 1400/1000 ** Oct US IBD/TIPP Optimism Index 43.2 --
03/10/2023 1400/1000 ** Aug US JOLTS job openings level 8827 8900 (k)
03/10/2023 1400/1000 ** Aug US JOLTS quits rate 2.3 -- %
03/10/2023 - *** Sep US NA-made light vehicle sales SAAR 15.04 15.40 (m)
03/10/2023 1530/1130 * 06-Oct US Bid to Cover Ratio -- --
03/10/2023 1530/1130 ** Sep US Bid to Cover Ratio -- --
04/10/2023 2200/0900 * Sep AU S&P Global Services PMI (f) 47.8 --
04/10/2023 0030/0930 ** Sep JP S&P Global Services PMI (f) 54.3 --
04/10/2023 0100/1400 *** Oct NZ RBNZ OCR 5.5 5.5 %
04/10/2023 0715/0915 ** Sep ES S&P Global Services PMI 49.3 49.7
04/10/2023 0745/0945 ** Sep IT S&P Global Services PMI 49.8 50.1
04/10/2023 0750/0950 ** Sep FR S&P Global Services PMI (f) 46.0 43.9
04/10/2023 0755/0955 ** Sep DE S&P Global Services PMI (f) 47.3 49.8
04/10/2023 0800/1000 ** Sep EU S&P Global Services PMI (f) 47.9 48.4
04/10/2023 0830/0930 ** Sep UK S&P Global Services PMI (f) 49.5 47.2
04/10/2023 0900/1100 ** Aug EU PPI m/m -0.5 0.6 %
04/10/2023 0900/1100 ** Aug EU PPI y/y -7.6 -11.6 %
04/10/2023 0900/1100 ** Aug EU Retail Sales m/m -0.2 -0.5 %
04/10/2023 0900/1100 ** Aug EU Retail Sales y/y wda -1.0 -1.3 %
04/10/2023 0900/1000 ** 06-Oct UK Bid to Cover Ratio -- --
04/10/2023 1100/0700 ** 29-Sep US MBA Mortgage Applications w/w -1.30 -- %
04/10/2023 1215/0815 *** Sep US ADP Private Payrolls 177 150 (k)
04/10/2023 1345/0945 *** Sep US S&P Global Services Index (f) 50.2 50.2
04/10/2023 1400/1000 *** Sep US ISM Services Employment Index 54.7 --
04/10/2023 1400/1000 *** Sep US ISM Services Index 54.5 53.5
04/10/2023 1400/1000 *** Sep US ISM Services New Orders 57.5 --
04/10/2023 1400/1000 *** Sep US ISM Services Prices Index 58.9 --
04/10/2023 1400/1000 ** Aug US Factory New Orders -2.10 0.20 %
04/10/2023 1400/1000 ** Aug US Factory Orders ex-transport 0.80 -- %
04/10/2023 1430/1030 ** 29-Sep US Crude Oil Stocks ex. SPR w/w -- -- bbl (m)
04/10/2023 1430/1030 ** 29-Sep US Distillate Stocks w/w change -- -- bbl (m)
04/10/2023 1430/1030 ** 29-Sep US Gasoline Stocks w/w change -- -- bbl (m)
05/10/2023 0030/1130 ** Oct AU Trade Balance 8039 8749 AUD (m)
05/10/2023 0600/0800 ** Aug DE Trade balance exports m/m -0.9 -1.0 %
05/10/2023 0600/0800 ** Aug DE Trade balance imports m/m 1.4 0.5 %
05/10/2023 0600/0800 ** Aug DE Trade balance m/m -2.8 -- E (b)
05/10/2023 0645/0845 * Aug FR Industrial Production m/m 0.8 -- %
05/10/2023 0645/0845 * Aug FR Industrial Production y/y 2.7 -- %
05/10/2023 0645/0845 * Aug FR Manufacturing Prod m/m 0.7 -- %
05/10/2023 0645/0845 * Aug FR Manufacturing Prod y/y 2.7 -- %
05/10/2023 0700/0900 ** Aug ES Industrial Production y/y -1.8 -- %
05/10/2023 0730/0930 ** Sep EU IHS Markit Construction PMI 43.4 --
05/10/2023 0830/0930 ** Sep UK S&P Global Construction PMI 50.8 50.0
05/10/2023 1230/0830 *** 30-Sep US Continuing Claims 1670 -- (k)
05/10/2023 1230/0830 *** 30-Sep US Initial Jobless Claims 204 -- (k)
05/10/2023 1230/0830 *** 30-Sep US Prev Continuing Claims, Rev -- -- (k)
05/10/2023 1230/0830 *** 30-Sep US Prev Initial Jobless Claims, Rev -- -- (k)
05/10/2023 1230/0830 ** 28-Sep US Corn Net Sales -- -- MT (k)
05/10/2023 1230/0830 ** 28-Sep US Corn Weekly Exports -- -- MT (k)
05/10/2023 1230/0830 ** 28-Sep US Soy Net Sales -- -- MT (k)
05/10/2023 1230/0830 ** 28-Sep US Soy Weekly Exports -- -- MT (k)
05/10/2023 1230/0830 ** 28-Sep US Wheat Net Sales -- -- MT (k)
05/10/2023 1230/0830 ** 28-Sep US Wheat Weekly Exports -- -- MT (k)
05/10/2023 1230/0830 ** Aug CA Prev Trade Balance, Rev -- -- CAD (b)
05/10/2023 1230/0830 ** Aug CA Trade Balance -0.99 -1.4 CAD (b)
05/10/2023 1230/0830 ** Aug US Previous Trade Deficit Revised -- -- USD (b)
05/10/2023 1230/0830 ** Aug US Trade Balance -65.0 -65.2 USD (b)
05/10/2023 1400/1000 * Sep CA Ivey PMI (SA) 53.5 --
05/10/2023 1430/1030 ** 29-Sep US Natural Gas Stocks w/w -- -- Bcf
06/10/2023 0545/0745 ** Sep CH Unemployment Rate 2.0 2.0 %
06/10/2023 0545/0745 ** Sep CH Unemployment m/m 0.1 -- %
06/10/2023 0545/0745 ** Sep CH Unemployment y/y -1.6 -- %
06/10/2023 0600/0800 ** Aug DE Manufacturing Orders m/m -11.7 1.5 %
06/10/2023 0645/0845 * Aug FR Foreign Trade -8.089 -- E (b)
06/10/2023 0800/1000 * Aug IT Retail Sales m/m 0.4 0.0 %
06/10/2023 0800/1000 * Aug IT Retail Sales y/y nsa 2.7 -- %
06/10/2023 1230/0830 *** Sep CA Employment 39.9 5.6 (k)
06/10/2023 1230/0830 *** Sep CA Unemployment Rate 5.50 -- %
06/10/2023 1230/0830 *** Sep US Average Hourly Earnings, m/m 0.20 0.30 %
06/10/2023 1230/0830 *** Sep US Average Workweek, All Workers 34.4 34.4 hrs
06/10/2023 1230/0830 *** Sep US Nonfarm Payrolls 187 165 (k)
06/10/2023 1230/0830 *** Sep US Prev Nonfarm Payrolls, Rev -- -- (k)
06/10/2023 1230/0830 *** Sep US Private Payrolls 179 150 (k)
06/10/2023 1230/0830 *** Sep US Unemployment Rate 3.80 3.70 %
06/10/2023 1900/1500 * Aug US Consumer Credit m/m 10.4 11.3 USD (b)
09/10/2023 0600/0800 ** Aug DE Industrial Production m/m -- -- %
09/10/2023 0600/0800 ** Aug NO GDP Mainland m/m -- -- %
09/10/2023 0600/0800 ** Aug NO GDP m/m -- -- %
09/10/2023 1500/1100 ** Oct US NY Fed 1y Cons Infl Exp (med) -- -- %
09/10/2023 1500/1100 ** Oct US NY Fed 3y Cons Infl Exp (med) -- -- %
09/10/2023 1500/1100 ** Oct US NY Fed 5y Cons Infl Exp (med) -- -- %