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MNI DATA IMPACT: Canada Flash March GDP +0.9%, Feb +0.4%

OTTAWA (MNI)

Canada's GDP surged 0.9% in March according to a flash estimate following an official gain of 0.4% in February, lifting total output to within 1% of where it was before the pandemic, government figures showed on Friday.

The March gain was led by manufacturing, retail and financial services and suggests the economy grew 1.6% in the first quarter over the fourth quarter of last year, Statistics Canada said. The February gain was close to the market expectation of 0.5%, and was led by construction and retailing as health restrictions were relaxed.

The BOC last week predicted 7% annualized growth in the first quarter as Governor Tiff Macklem said the economy could return to full output in the second half of next year and lay conditions for raising the 0.25% policy interest rate. Officials have also said they may taper the CAD3 billion a week QE program as they gain confidence in the rebound.

While the momentum may slip in April and May as the third wave forces new lockdowns, firms have told MNI there are signs of resilience and rebuilding supply to meet demand may be a bigger challenge.

Output has now climbed for 10 straight months, Statistics Canada said.

Source: Statistics Canada

MNI Ottawa Bureau | +1 613-314-9647 | greg.quinn@marketnews.com
MNI Ottawa Bureau | +1 613-314-9647 | greg.quinn@marketnews.com

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