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May 04, 2018 09:52 GMT
MNI DATA SURVEY: China April Economic Data Forecasts
MNI (Singapore)
BEIJING (MNI) - All figures y/y percentage change unless otherwise
specified.
CPI PPI M2 New Loans (CNY TSF (CNY
Apr Apr Apr Bln) Apr Bln) Apr
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Median 1.9 3.5 8.5 1150 1300
High 2.1 3.8 8.8 1500 1781
Low 1.7 3.3 8.2 900 1100
Mean 1.9 3.5 8.5 1177 1398
No. 19 19 16 15 9
Previous 2.1 3.1 8.2 1120 1330
China Sec 2.0 3.4 8.4 1200 na
CICC 2.0 3.3 8.2 1100 1500
CITIC Sec 2.1 3.5 8.6 1400 na
Guotai Junan 2.0 3.4 8.6 1200 1350
HSBC 1.9 3.5 na na na
Huatai Sec 2.0 3.5 8.5 1100 1300
IndustrialBank 1.7 3.5 8.4 900 1100
ING 1.8 3.5 8.3 1500 1781
Merchant Sec 1.7 3.4 8.5 1100 1250
Moody's 2.0 3.5 8.4 na na
Nomura 1.9 3.4 8.8 1000 1300
Peking U Rsrch 1.9 3.4 8.5 1200 na
Ping An Sec 1.9 3.6 8.3 na na
Sealand Sec 1.9 3.5 na 1000 na
Shanghai Sec 1.9 3.8 8.4 1500 na
Shenwan
Hongyuan 1.9 3.5 8.5 1000 1300
Sino Link Sec 1.9 3.6 8.6 1300 1700
Southwest Sec 2.0 3.5 8.4 1150 na
Zhong Tai Sec 2.1 3.5 na na na
Trade
Exports Imports Balance Output Investment Retail
Apr Apr ($Bln) Apr Jan-Apr Apr
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Median 8.0 16.0 28.6 6.5 7.4 10.1
High 12.0 20.3 40.0 6.6 7.9 10.3
Low -4.3 9.4 0.0 6.1 7.0 9.8
Mean 7.6 15.5 28.4 6.4 7.4 10.1
No. 17 17 13 16 16 16
Previous -2.7 14.4 -5.0 6.0 7.5 10.1
China Sec 9.0 12.0 na 6.3 7.3 10.3
CICC 10.0 18.0 28.6 6.5 7.4 10.0
CITIC Sec 11.0 16.0 40.0 6.5 7.8 10.3
Guotai Junan 10.0 20.0 27.1 6.6 7.5 10.2
HSBC 6.0 17.0 na na na na
Huatai Sec 4.0 9.4 na 6.5 7.2 10.2
IndustrialBank 12.0 16.0 36.0 6.1 7.1 9.8
ING 6.5 17.6 23.0 na na na
Merchant Sec 9.8 13.3 35.0 6.3 7.4 10.3
Moody na na 35.0 na na na
Nomura 7.0 15.0 27.5 6.3 7.4 9.9
Peking U Rsrch 11.0 16.4 34.0 6.4 7.0 10.0
Ping An Sec 6.0 12.0 30.0 6.2 7.2 10.0
Sealand Sec 10.5 12.3 na 6.5 7.6 10.1
Shanghai Sec -4.3 20.3 0.0 6.5 7.9 10.1
Shenwan
Hongyuan 8.0 18.0 25.1 6.5 7.5 10.1
Sino Link Sec 6.0 16.0 na 6.5 7.4 10.3
Southwest Sec 6.4 14.1 27.3 6.4 7.5 10.0
Zhongtai Sec na na na 6.3 7.4 10.1
Note: The survey median is compiled solely from the forecasts listed above
and is not intended to represent a market consensus.
April trade data is due for release on May 8.
April CPI, PPI due for release at 0930 local/0130GMT May 10.
April money supply, bank loans and total social financing expected to be
released between May 10 and May 15. Date and time uncertain.
April Industrial output, retail sales and YTD fixed-asset investment will
be released at 1000 local/0200GMT on May 15.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: flora.guo@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAQDT$,M$A$$$,M$Q$$$]
To read the full story
Close
Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
Sign up now for free trial access to this content.
Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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