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MNI DATA SURVEY: China August Economic Data Forecasts

MNI (London)
     BEIJING (MNI) - All figures are y/y percentage changes unless otherwise
specified.
                    CPI     PPI     M2    New Loans (CNY Bln)
                    Aug     Aug    Aug                    Aug  TSF (CNY Bln) Aug
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Median              2.2     4.0    8.5                   1350               1225
High                2.3     4.3    9.3                   1850               1600
Low                 2.1     3.0    8.2                   1000               1100
Mean                2.2     3.9    8.5                   1354               1279
No.                  17      17     15                     14                 10
Previous            2.1     4.6    8.5                   1450               1040
Bank of China       2.1     3.8    8.7                   1200                 na
Capital
Economics           2.1     3.5    8.6                   1400             1100.0
CICC                2.2     3.9    8.2                   1400               1100
CITIC Sec           2.2     4.1    8.4                   1200                 na
Everbright Sec      2.3     4.2    8.5                     na               1200
Haitong Sec         2.2     3.7     na                     na                 na
HSBC                2.3     4.1    8.5                   1300               1250
Huachuang Sec       2.3     4.0    8.4                   1500                 na
Huatai Sec          2.3     4.0    8.3                   1500               1600
ING                 2.1     4.0    8.3                   1850               1140
Merchant Sec        2.3     3.0    9.3                     na                 na
Minsheng Bank       2.2     4.3    8.5                   1300               1200
Sealand Sec         2.2     4.0     na                   1400                 na
Shanghai Sec        2.2     3.9    8.6                   1000                 na
Shenwan
Hongyuan            2.2     4.0    8.6                   1400               1400
Sino Link Sec       2.3     3.8    8.4                   1300               1400
Southwest Sec       2.3     4.2    8.3                   1200               1400
                                        Trade
               Exports   Imports      Balance   Output      Investment    Retail
                   Aug       Aug       ($Bln)      Aug         Jan-Aug       Aug
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Median            10.0      19.3         28.3      6.0             5.5       8.8
High              12.1      21.9         40.0      6.5             7.3      10.5
Low                7.0       5.7         11.6      5.8             5.1       8.4
Mean               9.8      17.4         27.6      6.1             5.6       8.9
No.                 16        16           11       16              15        16
Previous          12.2      27.3         28.1      6.0             5.5       8.8
Bank of
China              7.2       5.7           na      6.5             5.8       8.7
Capital
Economics         10.0      20.0         30.0      5.9             5.1       8.7
CICC              11.0      20.0         30.2      6.0             5.5       8.8
CITIC Sec         11.0      18.0         18.0      6.0             5.5       9.5
Everbright
Sec               12.0      17.0           na      6.2              na       8.9
Haitong Sec         na        na           na       na              na        na
HSBC              10.0      17.4         32.3      6.3             5.6       8.9
Huachuang
Sec               11.0      15.1         40.0      5.9             5.3       8.4
Huatai Sec        10.1      21.9         28.0      6.0             6.0       9.2
ING                7.0      18.7         11.6      6.2             6.0       8.9
Merchant Sec       7.0       6.0           na      6.3             7.3      10.5
Minsheng
Bank               7.8      20.0         23.5      5.9             5.5       8.8
Sealand Sec       10.6      19.6           na      5.9             5.4       8.7
Shanghai Sec      12.1      19.0         34.0      6.3             5.5       9.0
Shenwan
Hongyuan          10.0      20.0         28.3      5.8             5.4       8.8
Sino Link
Sec               10.0      20.0           na      5.9             5.3       8.7
Southwest
Sec               10.0      20.0         28.3      5.9             5.4       8.6
     Note: The survey median is compiled solely from the forecasts listed above
and is not intended to represent a market consensus.
     August trade data is due for release on September 8 at 1100 local/0400GMT.
     August CPI, PPI due for release on September 10 at 0930 local/0230GMT.
     August money supply, bank loans and total social financing expected to be
released between September 10 and September 15. Date and time uncertain at
publication time.
     August industrial output, retail sales and YTD fixed-asset investment will
be released on September 14 at 1000 local/0300GMT.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: flora.guo@marketnews.com
--MNI London Bureau; tel: +44 203-586-2225; email: les.commons@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAQDT$,M$A$$$,M$Q$$$]
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com

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