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September 07, 2018 09:42 GMT
MNI DATA SURVEY: China August Economic Data Forecasts
MNI (London)
BEIJING (MNI) - All figures are y/y percentage changes unless otherwise
specified.
CPI PPI M2 New Loans (CNY Bln)
Aug Aug Aug Aug TSF (CNY Bln) Aug
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Median 2.2 4.0 8.5 1350 1225
High 2.3 4.3 9.3 1850 1600
Low 2.1 3.0 8.2 1000 1100
Mean 2.2 3.9 8.5 1354 1279
No. 17 17 15 14 10
Previous 2.1 4.6 8.5 1450 1040
Bank of China 2.1 3.8 8.7 1200 na
Capital
Economics 2.1 3.5 8.6 1400 1100.0
CICC 2.2 3.9 8.2 1400 1100
CITIC Sec 2.2 4.1 8.4 1200 na
Everbright Sec 2.3 4.2 8.5 na 1200
Haitong Sec 2.2 3.7 na na na
HSBC 2.3 4.1 8.5 1300 1250
Huachuang Sec 2.3 4.0 8.4 1500 na
Huatai Sec 2.3 4.0 8.3 1500 1600
ING 2.1 4.0 8.3 1850 1140
Merchant Sec 2.3 3.0 9.3 na na
Minsheng Bank 2.2 4.3 8.5 1300 1200
Sealand Sec 2.2 4.0 na 1400 na
Shanghai Sec 2.2 3.9 8.6 1000 na
Shenwan
Hongyuan 2.2 4.0 8.6 1400 1400
Sino Link Sec 2.3 3.8 8.4 1300 1400
Southwest Sec 2.3 4.2 8.3 1200 1400
Trade
Exports Imports Balance Output Investment Retail
Aug Aug ($Bln) Aug Jan-Aug Aug
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Median 10.0 19.3 28.3 6.0 5.5 8.8
High 12.1 21.9 40.0 6.5 7.3 10.5
Low 7.0 5.7 11.6 5.8 5.1 8.4
Mean 9.8 17.4 27.6 6.1 5.6 8.9
No. 16 16 11 16 15 16
Previous 12.2 27.3 28.1 6.0 5.5 8.8
Bank of
China 7.2 5.7 na 6.5 5.8 8.7
Capital
Economics 10.0 20.0 30.0 5.9 5.1 8.7
CICC 11.0 20.0 30.2 6.0 5.5 8.8
CITIC Sec 11.0 18.0 18.0 6.0 5.5 9.5
Everbright
Sec 12.0 17.0 na 6.2 na 8.9
Haitong Sec na na na na na na
HSBC 10.0 17.4 32.3 6.3 5.6 8.9
Huachuang
Sec 11.0 15.1 40.0 5.9 5.3 8.4
Huatai Sec 10.1 21.9 28.0 6.0 6.0 9.2
ING 7.0 18.7 11.6 6.2 6.0 8.9
Merchant Sec 7.0 6.0 na 6.3 7.3 10.5
Minsheng
Bank 7.8 20.0 23.5 5.9 5.5 8.8
Sealand Sec 10.6 19.6 na 5.9 5.4 8.7
Shanghai Sec 12.1 19.0 34.0 6.3 5.5 9.0
Shenwan
Hongyuan 10.0 20.0 28.3 5.8 5.4 8.8
Sino Link
Sec 10.0 20.0 na 5.9 5.3 8.7
Southwest
Sec 10.0 20.0 28.3 5.9 5.4 8.6
Note: The survey median is compiled solely from the forecasts listed above
and is not intended to represent a market consensus.
August trade data is due for release on September 8 at 1100 local/0400GMT.
August CPI, PPI due for release on September 10 at 0930 local/0230GMT.
August money supply, bank loans and total social financing expected to be
released between September 10 and September 15. Date and time uncertain at
publication time.
August industrial output, retail sales and YTD fixed-asset investment will
be released on September 14 at 1000 local/0300GMT.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: flora.guo@marketnews.com
--MNI London Bureau; tel: +44 203-586-2225; email: les.commons@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAQDT$,M$A$$$,M$Q$$$]
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com
To read the full story
Close
Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
Sign up now for free trial access to this content.
Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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