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August 08, 2018 10:42 GMT
MNI DATA SURVEY: China July Economic Data Forecast
MNI (Singapore)
BEIJING (MNI) - All figures are y/y percentage changes unless otherwise
specified.
CPI PPI M2 New Loans (CNY TSF (CNY Bln)
Jul Jul Jul Bln) Jul Jul
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Median 1.9 4.4 8.2 1200 1100
High 2.1 4.8 8.5 1700 1500
Low 1.8 4.3 8.0 1000 800
Mean 1.9 4.4 8.2 1192 1105
No. 20 20 18 18 10
Previous 1.9 4.7 8.0 1840 1180
Bank of
China 2.0 4.7 8.5 1000 na
China Sec 1.9 4.5 8.1 1200 na
CICC 1.9 4.3 8.4 1700 1500
CITIC Sec 2.1 4.4 8.2 1100 na
Guotai Junan 2.0 4.5 8.2 1000 800
Haitong Sec 1.8 4.4 8.2 1100 na
HSBC 2.0 4.7 8.2 1000 950
Huachuang
Sec 1.8 4.4 8.3 1400 na
Huatai Sec 2.0 4.5 8.3 1000 900
ING 2.1 4.8 na na na
Merchant Sec 1.9 4.3 8.2 1000 1100
Minsheng
Bank 1.9 4.5 8.3 1200 1000
Moody's 1.9 4.3 8.1 na na
Morgan
Stanley 2.0 4.4 8.2 1200.0 1100.0
Peking U
Rsrch 2.0 4.5 8.1 1250 na
Sealand Sec 1.9 4.3 na 1500 na
Shanghai Sec 1.9 4.4 8.2 1200 na
Shenwan
Hongyuan 1.9 4.3 8.4 1200 1100
Sino Link
Sec 2.0 4.3 8.0 1200 1300
Southwest
Sec 1.9 4.3 8.1 1200 1300
Output Jul Investment Jan-Jul Retail Jul
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Median 6.3 6.0 9.0
High 7.0 6.8 9.6
Low 6.0 5.8 8.7
Mean 6.3 6.0 9.1
No. 16 16 16
Previous 6.0 6.0 9.0
Bank of China 6.8 6.0 8.8
China Sec 6.1 5.9 8.7
CICC 6.5 6.0 9.0
CITIC Sec 6.3 6.0 9.4
Guotai Junan 6.5 6.0 9.0
Haitong Sec 6.0 6.0 8.9
HSBC
Huachuang Sec 6.3 5.9 8.7
Huatai Sec 6.4 6.1 9.6
ING na na na
Merchant Sec 6.3 5.8 9.0
Minsheng Bank 6.2 5.8 9.4
Moody's na na na
Morgan Stanley na na na
Peking U Rsrch 6.4 5.8 8.8
Sealand Sec 6.4 6.0 8.9
Shanghai Sec 7.0 6.8 9.6
Shenwan Hongyuan 6.2 6.0 8.8
Sino Link Sec 6.1 5.9 8.8
Southwest Sec 6.0 5.9 9.4
Note: The survey median is compiled solely from the forecasts listed above
and is not intended to represent a market consensus.
July trade data is due for release on August 8 at 1100 local/0400 GMT.
July CPI, PPI due for release on August 9 at 0930 local/0230 GMT.
July money supply, bank loans and total social financing expected to be
released between August 10 and August 15. Date and time uncertain.
July industrial output, retail sales and YTD fixed-asset investment will be
released on August 14 at 1000 local/0300 GMT.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: flora.guo@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAQDT$,M$A$$$,M$Q$$$]
To read the full story
Close
Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
Sign up now for free trial access to this content.
Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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