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MNI DATA SURVEY: China July Economic Data Forecast

MNI (Singapore)
     BEIJING (MNI) - All figures are y/y percentage changes unless otherwise
specified.
                     M2           New Loans   (CNY Bln)       TSF   (CNY Bln)
                           Jul                        Jul                    Jul
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Median                     8.2                       1200                   1100
High                       8.5                       1700                   1500
Low                        8.0                       1000                    800
Mean                       8.2                       1192                   1105
No.                         18                         18                     10
Previous                   8.0                       1840                   1180
Bank of China              8.5                       1000                     na
China Sec                  8.1                       1200                     na
CICC                       8.4                       1700                   1500
CITIC Sec                  8.2                       1100                     na
Guotai Junan               8.2                       1000                    800
Haitong Sec                8.2                       1100                     na
HSBC                       8.2                       1000                    950
Huachuang Sec              8.3                       1400                     na
Huatai Sec                 8.3                       1000                    900
ING                         na                         na                     na
Merchant Sec               8.2                       1000                   1100
Minsheng Bank              8.3                       1200                   1000
Moody's                    8.1                         na                     na
Morgan Stanley             8.2                     1200.0                 1100.0
Peking U Rsrch             8.1                       1250                     na
Sealand Sec                 na                       1500                     na
Shanghai Sec               8.2                       1200                     na
Shenwan Hongyuan           8.4                       1200                   1100
Sino Link Sec              8.0                       1200                   1300
Southwest Sec              8.1                       1200                   1300
                   Output  Jul  Investment  Jan-Jul  Retail   Jul
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Median                     6.3                  6.0           9.0
High                       7.0                  6.8           9.6
Low                        6.0                  5.8           8.7
Mean                       6.3                  6.0           9.1
No.                         16                   16            16
Previous                   6.0                  6.0           9.0
Bank of China              6.8                  6.0           8.8
China Sec                  6.1                  5.9           8.7
CICC                       6.5                  6.0           9.0
CITIC Sec                  6.3                  6.0           9.4
Guotai Junan               6.5                  6.0           9.0
Haitong Sec                6.0                  6.0           8.9
HSBC
Huachuang Sec              6.3                  5.9           8.7
Huatai Sec                 6.4                  6.1           9.6
ING                         na                   na            na
Merchant Sec               6.3                  5.8           9.0
Minsheng Bank              6.2                  5.8           9.4
Moody's                     na                   na            na
Morgan Stanley              na                   na            na
Peking U Rsrch             6.4                  5.8           8.8
Sealand Sec                6.4                  6.0           8.9
Shanghai Sec               7.0                  6.8           9.6
Shenwan Hongyuan           6.2                  6.0           8.8
Sino Link Sec              6.1                  5.9           8.8
Southwest Sec              6.0                  5.9           9.4
     Note: The survey median is compiled solely from the forecasts listed above
and is not intended to represent a market consensus.
     July money supply, bank loans and total social financing expected to be
released between August 10 and August 15. Date and time uncertain.
     July industrial output, retail sales and YTD fixed-asset investment will be
released on August 14 at 1000 local/0300 GMT.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: flora.guo@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAQDT$,M$A$$$,M$Q$$$]

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