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MNI DATA SURVEY: China May Economic Data Forecast

MNI (Singapore)
     BEIJING (MNI) - All figures are y/y percentage changes unless otherwise
specified.
                  CPI   PPI   M2   New Loans (CNY Bln)   TSF (CNY Bln)
                   May   May  May                   May             May
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Median             2.7   0.6  8.5                1200.0          1334.6
High               2.9   0.9  8.7                1500.0          1933.0
Low                2.0  -0.5  8.3                 900.0          1180.0
Mean               2.7   0.5  8.5                1219.5          1388.5
No.                 19    18   19                    19              18
Previous           2.5   0.9  8.5                1020.0          1359.0
BFRC               2.7   N/A  N/A                   N/A             N/A
CEBM               2.9   0.6  8.4                 920.0          1200.0
CIB Research       2.8   0.6  8.6                1420.0          1410.0
CICC               2.7   0.0  8.5                1050.0          1250.0
CITIC Sec          2.8   0.4  8.5                 900.0          1180.0
Guotai Junan Sec   2.7   0.7  8.6                1300.0          1500.0
Huatai Sec         2.6   0.6  8.6                1200.0          1300.0
Industrial Sec     2.7   0.6  8.5                1050.0          1250.0
ING                2.0  -0.5  8.5                1450.0          1933.0
Merchant Sec       2.9   0.8  8.5                1350.0          1300.0
Minsheng Bank      2.6   0.3  8.6                1200.0          1550.0
Minsheng Sec       2.7   0.9  8.7                1340.0          1310.0
New Times Sec      2.7   0.5  8.5                1200.0          1400.0
Nomura             2.8   0.7  8.6                1500.0          1500.0
Peking U Rsrch     2.6   0.7  8.3                1170.0             N/A
TF Bank            N/A   N/A  8.7                1400.0          1600.0
TF Sec             2.7   0.3  8.5                1250.0          1200.0
Shenwan Hongyuan   2.6   0.6  8.6                1250.0          1450.0
Sinolink Sec       2.8   0.5  8.5                1200.0          1300.0
Southwest Sec      2.7   0.7  8.5                1020.0          1359.2
                                        Trade
               Exports   Imports      Balance   Output      Investment    Retail
                   May       May       ($Bln)      May         Jan-May       May
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Median            -3.9      -2.3         28.5      5.4             6.0       8.3
High               4.0      11.4         33.0      5.8             6.5       9.2
Low               -8.0     -10.2         -6.2      4.8             5.5       6.9
Mean              -3.0      -2.1         23.9      5.4             6.1       8.3
No.                 18        18           12       18              18        18
Previous          -2.7       4.0         13.8      5.4             6.1       7.2
CEBM               0.0      -2.0          N/A      5.0             6.1       8.9
CIB Research      -8.0      -4.0         14.0      5.2             6.0       8.6
CICC              -7.5      -2.5          N/A      5.0             6.5      7.05
CITIC Sec         -5.0      -2.0          N/A      5.5             6.2       8.9
Guotai Junan
Sec               -4.0      -7.0         28.9      5.2             6.0       8.9
Huatai Sec         2.4       1.2         24.4      5.8             6.0       8.3
Industrial
Sec               -5.0       1.0         14.7      5.5             6.0       N/A
ING               -3.8      11.4         -6.2      5.5             6.5       8.1
Merchant Sec       1.1      -3.8         33.0      5.5             5.9       8.0
Minsheng
Bank              -6.9     -10.2         32.0      5.2             6.0       8.8
Minsheng Sec      -2.7      -7.8         32.4      5.8             5.5       7.9
New Times
Sec               -6.0      -4.3          N/A      4.8             6.2       9.1
Nomura             1.0      -3.0         31.2      5.5             6.2       9.0
Peking U
Rsrch             -3.0       0.6         30.0      5.0             6.0       6.9
TF Sec            -4.0       0.0          N/A      5.0             6.0       8.0
Shenwan
Hongyuan           4.0       2.0         28.0      5.8             6.3       9.2
Sinolink Sec      -3.0      -2.0          N/A      5.7             6.0       8.0
Southwest
Sec               -4.0      -5.0        24.36      5.3             5.9       8.0
     Note: The survey median is compiled solely from the forecasts listed above
and is not intended to represent a market consensus.
     May trade data is due for release on June 10.
     May CPI, PPI due for release at 0930 local/0230 GMT June 12.
     May Industrial output, retail sales and YTD fixed-asset investment will be
released on June 14.
     May money supply, bank loans and total social financing expected to be
released between June 10 and June 15. Date and time uncertain at publication
time.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: wanxia.lin@marketnews.com
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: flora.guo@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAQDT$,M$A$$$,M$Q$$$]
DataData TablePolicy NewsAPACChinaJapanAustraliaNew ZealandChina Market NewsRegion
DataData TablePolicy NewsAPACChinaJapanAustraliaNew ZealandChina Market NewsRegion
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