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December 07, 2018 09:15 GMT
MNI DATA SURVEY: China November Economic Data Forecast
BEIJING (MNI) - All figures are y/y percentage changes unless otherwise
specified.
CPI PPI M2 New Loans (CNY Bln) TSF (CNY Bln)
Nov Nov Nov Nov Nov
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Median 2.4 2.7 8.0 1200.0 1429.0
High 2.6 3.3 8.4 1500.0 1600.0
Low 2.2 2.2 7.6 750.0 1100.0
Mean 2.4 2.7 8.1 1148.9 1415.3
No. 18 18 17 18 13
Previous month 2.5 3.3 8.0 690 728.8
CIB Research 2.2 2.6 8.0 1250.0 1350.0
CICC 2.4 2.6 8.1 1000.0 1300.0
CITIC Sec 2.3 3.3 8.1 1210.0 1430.0
Everbright Sec 2.3 2.8 8.0 1200.0 N/A
Guotai Junan 2.4 2.5 8.0 1200.0 1380
GF Sec N/A N/A N/A 1220.0 1490.0
Haitong Sec 2.3 2.2 7.6 800.0 N/A
HSBC 2.4 3.1 N/A N/A N/A
Huachuang Sec 2.4 2.7 8.3 1500.0 N/A
Huatai Sec 2.4 2.7 8.0 1200.0 1600.0
ING 2.5 3.2 8.0 1100.0 1429.0
Merchant Sec 2.2 2.4 8.0 1150.0 1500.0
Minsheng Bank 2.4 2.5 8.3 1200.0 1100.0
Northeast Sec 2.4 2.7 8.0 1150.0 1570.0
Peking U Rsrch 2.6 2.8 8.2 1200.0 N/A
Shanghai Sec 2.2 2.5 8.4 750.0 N/A
Shenwan Hongyuan 2.3 2.6 8.1 1250.0 1400.0
Sinolink Sec 2.4 2.7 8.2 1150.0 1500.0
Southwest Sec 2.4 2.7 7.8 1150.0 1350.0
Trade
Exports Imports Balance Output Investment Retail
Nov Nov ($Bln) Nov Jan-Nov Nov
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Median 10.0 13.8 36.3 5.9 5.8 8.9
High 14.3 19.1 43.0 6.5 6.1 9.2
Low 6.7 9.9 28.2 5.5 5.5 8.4
Mean 9.9 13.8 35.3 5.9 5.8 8.9
No. 18 18 16 17 17 17
Previous 15.6 21.4 34.0 5.9 5.7 8.6
CIB Research 8.0 11.0 38.4 5.8 5.8 9.2
CICC 8.0 13.0 32.6 5.9 5.8 8.8
CITIC Sec 11.0 16.0 30.0 5.7 5.7 8.4
Everbright
Sec 8.0 12.0 N/A 5.9 5.8 8.9
Guotai Junan 9.0 12.0 36.57 5.9 5.7 8.4
Haitong Sec 6.7 14.2 28.2 5.5 5.6 8.4
HSBC 9.0 15.0 31.2 N/A N/A N/A
Huachuang
Sec 10.7 13.6 37.4 6.0 5.8 8.9
Huatai Sec 10.3 10.3 40.0 5.8 5.5 9.2
ING 13.2 19.1 33.0 5.9 5.8 9.0
Merchant Sec 11.2 14.4 37.0 6.0 5.8 9.0
Minsheng
Bank 8.9 11.6 37.0 5.7 5.9 8.9
Northeast
Sec 6.7 12.7 30.3 5.7 5.7 8.8
Peking U
Rsrch 14.3 18.5 36.0 6.0 5.8 9.1
Shanghai Sec 10.3 9.9 43.0 6.5 6.1 9.0
Shenwan
Hongyuan 12.5 14.0 40.0 6.1 5.8 8.9
Sinolink Sec 10.0 16.0 N/A 5.8 5.6 9.2
Southwest
Sec 10.0 15.0 33.41 5.8 5.6 9.0
Note: The survey median is determined solely from the forecasts listed
above. It is not intended to represent a market consensus.
November trade data are due to be released on Dec 8.
November CPI, PPI are due for release at 0930 local/0130 GMT Dec 9.
November money supply, bank loans and total social financing expected to be
released Nov 10-15. Date and time uncertain at publication time.
November industrial output, retail sales and YTD fixed-asset investment
will be released at 1000 local/0200 GMT on Nov 14.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: wanxia.lin@marketnews.com
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 10 8532 5998; email: william.bi@mni-news.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAQDT$,M$A$$$,M$Q$$$]
To read the full story
Close
Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
Sign up now for free trial access to this content.
Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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