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MNI DATA SURVEY: Japan May Trade Statistics, CPI

MNI (Singapore)
     TOKYO (MNI) - The following are the median forecasts from MNI's economist
survey for key Japanese data due in this week.
Date           JST/GMT                Data   Month   Median            Previous
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Wed, Jun 17  0850/2350             Exports     May    -27.0    % y/y      -21.9
Wed, Jun 17  0850/2350             Imports     May    -22.1    % y/y       -7.1
Wed, Jun 17  0850/2350       Trade Balance     May   -950.0  bln yen     -931.9
Fri, Jun 19  0830/2330   National Core CPI     May     -0.1    % y/y       -0.2
Trade Statistics Forecast
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                          Exports   Imports  Trade Balance
                                            y/y %     y/y %      (bln yen)
Median Forecast                             -27.0     -22.1         -950.0
High Forecast                               -24.0     -17.0         -562.3
Low Forecast                                -30.3     -44.8       -1,308.3
Previous Month                              -21.9      -7.1         -931.9
Standard Deviation                            1.9       8.0          232.1
No. of Responses                               11        11             11
                                          Exports   Imports  Trade Balance
                                            y/y %     y/y %      (bln yen)
Mizuho Research Institute                   -24.0     -17.0       -1,207.4
Norinchukin Research Institute              -25.0     -19.0       -1,132.3
Mitsubishi UFJ Research and Consulting      -25.5     -22.1         -950.0
SMBC Nikko Securities                       -26.1     -18.7       -1,219.2
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute            -26.1     -24.0         -856.3
Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities              -27.0     -24.0         -908.8
Japan Research Institute                    -28.3     -19.2       -1,308.3
Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management            -28.3     -44.8         -930.0
NLI Research Institute                      -28.4     -27.0         -782.8
Daiwa Institute of Research                 -28.6     -20.4       -1,247.2
Nomura Securities                           -30.3     -32.0         -562.3
Consumer Price Index (Excluding Fresh Food)
------------------------------------------------------------
                                              National % y/y
Median Forecast                                         -0.1
High Forecast                                            0.2
Low Forecast                                            -0.2
Previous Month                                          -0.2
Standard Deviation                                       0.1
No. of Responses                                          11
                                              National % y/y
Mitsubishi UFJ Research and Consulting                   0.2
Daiwa Institute of Research                              0.1
Japan Research Institute                                 0.0
Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management                         0.0
Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities                          -0.1
Nomura Securities                                       -0.1
Norinchukin Research Institute                          -0.1
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute                        -0.2
Mizuho Research Institute                               -0.2
NLI Research Institute                                  -0.2
SMBC Nikko Securities                                   -0.2
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: flora.guo@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,M$A$$$,M$J$$$]

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