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US EURODLR OPTIONS

Implied Vol Under Pressure

US EURODLR OPTIONS

Bearish 1- and 3Y Midcurve Plays

EURIBOR OPTIONS

Outright put buyer

      Balance  Y/Y Chg  Exports  Y/Y Chg  Imports  Y/Y Chg  YTD Balance  Y/Y Chg
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Bln $  pct y/y    Bln $  pct y/y    Bln $  pct y/y        Bln $  pct y/y
2018
Nov     44.75     11.3   227.42      5.4   182.67      3.0       299.59   -20.32
Oct     34.02    -10.9   217.28     15.6   183.27     21.4       254.20   -24.04
Sep     31.69     10.7   226.69     14.5   195.00     14.3       221.38   -25.36
Aug     27.91    -32.6   217.43      9.8   189.52     20.0       193.66   -27.73
Jul     28.05    -38.5   215.57     12.2   187.52     27.3       166.10   -26.68
Jun     41.61     -0.9   216.74     11.3   175.13     14.1       139.65   -22.81
May     24.92    -38.1   212.87     12.6   187.95     26.0        99.67   -28.26
Apr     28.78    -21.6   200.44     12.7   171.65     21.5        76.75   -22.19
Mar     -4.98       --   174.12     -2.7   179.10     14.4        48.39   -21.88
Feb     33.74       --   171.62     44.5   137.88      6.3        54.32    39.01
Jan     20.57    -58.4   200.73     11.2   180.15     36.8        20.57   -58.41
2017
Dec     54.69     38.0   231.79     10.9   177.10      4.5       422.51   -17.11
Nov     40.21     -6.7   217.38     12.3   177.17     17.7       375.98   -20.02
Oct     38.17    -20.8   188.98      6.9   150.80     17.2       334.78   -21.60
Sep     28.64    -29.2   198.21      8.0   169.57     18.6       296.60   -21.71
Aug     41.41    -17.3   198.50      5.1   157.09     13.2       267.96   -20.82
Jul     45.63     -5.6   192.33      6.5   146.69     10.9       226.55   -21.42
Jun     41.99     -7.4   195.55     10.7   153.56     17.0       180.92   -24.60
May     40.29    -10.2   189.51      7.9   149.23     14.0       138.93   -28.61
Apr     36.70     -7.9   178.19      6.9   141.49     11.6        98.64   -34.14
Mar     22.87     -8.2   179.25     15.6   156.38     20.1        61.94   -43.64
Feb    -10.39       --   119.12     -2.1   129.50     38.4        39.07   -54.03
Jan     49.46    -13.0   181.35      7.1   131.89     17.2        49.46   -13.00
2016
Dec     39.63    -34.1   209.10     -6.1   169.47      3.1       509.71   -14.26
Nov     43.08    -20.4   193.56      0.1   150.48      6.7       470.08   -12.80
Oct     48.17    -21.9   176.84     -7.3   128.67     -1.4       427.00   -12.13
Sep     40.43    -33.0   183.44    -10.0   143.01     -1.9       378.83   -10.67
Aug     50.10    -16.8   188.83     -2.8   138.73      1.5       338.40    -7.41
Jul     48.35     12.4   180.66     -4.4   132.31    -12.5       288.30    -5.54
Jun     45.34     -2.6   176.61     -4.8   131.26     -8.4       239.96    -8.85
May     44.84    -24.6   175.71     -4.1   130.87     -0.4       194.61   -10.42
Apr     39.86     16.8   166.69     -1.8   126.83    -10.9       149.77    -5.09
Mar     24.91    708.8   155.10     11.5   130.19     -7.6       109.91   -11.15
Feb     28.15    -46.2   121.71    -25.4    93.56    -13.8        85.00   -20.51
Jan     56.85      5.4   169.40    -11.2   112.55    -18.8        56.85     5.43
2015
Dec     60.09     21.2   224.19     -1.4   164.10     -7.6       594.50    55.42
Nov     54.10     -0.7   197.24     -6.8   143.14     -8.7       539.11    62.14
Oct     61.64     35.7   192.41     -6.9   130.77    -18.8       485.93    75.36
Sep     60.34     95.0   205.56     -3.7   145.22    -20.4       424.09    83.13
Aug     60.24     20.9   196.88     -5.5   136.65    -13.8       365.50    82.27
Jul     43.03     -9.0   195.10     -8.3   152.07     -8.1       305.20   102.66
Jun     46.54     47.3   192.01      2.8   145.48     -6.1       263.25   155.90
May     59.49     65.6   190.75     -2.5   131.26    -17.6       217.26   204.71
Apr     34.13     84.9   176.33     -6.4   142.20    -16.2       157.81   347.69
Mar      3.08    -60.1   144.57    -15.0   141.49    -12.7       123.70   638.95
Feb     60.62       --   169.19     48.3   108.57    -20.5       120.65  1258.67
Jan     60.03     88.4   200.26     -3.3   140.23    -19.9        60.03    88.42
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: flora.guo@marketnews.com
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 10 8532 5998; email: william.bi@mni-news.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAQDA$,M$A$$$,M$Q$$$]