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Free AccessMNI Dollar-Asia Morning FX Technical Analysis
7 September 2017
By Kyle Shortland
Click below for today's MNI FX Technical Analysis Report -
http://tinyurl.com/pzkomnu
DOLLAR-SING TECHS: Bears Focused on 200-WMA
*RES 4: Sgd1.3638 - High Aug 21
*RES 3: Sgd1.3587 - 21-DMA
*RES 2: Sgd1.3584 - High Sept 4
*RES 1: Sgd1.3543 - Hourly resistance Sept 5
*PRICE: Sgd1.3495 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Sgd1.3477 - 2017 Low Sept 6
*SUP 2: Sgd1.3473 - 200-WMA
*SUP 3: Sgd1.3430 - Monthly Low Sept 7 2016, Weekly Bolli Base
*SUP 4: Sgd1.3381 - Low Aug 18 2016
*COMMENTARY: The 21-DMA capped last week resulting in fresh 2017 and 12mth lows
Wednesday with immediate focus on the 200-WMA. A close below the 200-WMA was
last seen in Sept 2014. Daily studies have corrected back to neutral levels and
are now well placed for a fresh leg lower. Bulls need a close above the 21-DMA
to ease immediate bearish pressure and above Sgd1.3638 to shift focus to
Sgd1.3661-88 where the 55-DMA is noted.
DOLLAR-WON TECHS: Bulls Shifts Focus To Krw1140.1-1148.1
*RES 4: Krw1148.1 - High Aug 11
*RES 3: Krw1145.4 - 200-DMA
*RES 2: Krw1144.1 - High Aug 18
*RES 1: Krw1140.1 - Low Aug 18 now resistance
*PRICE: Krw1135.4 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Krw1133.4 - 55-DMA
*SUP 2: Krw1128.5 - Low Sept 4
*SUP 3: Krw1119.1 - Bollinger band base
*SUP 4: Krw1119.0 - Low Aug 28
*COMMENTARY: Daily studies correcting from O/S saw pressure return to the 55-DMA
with the close above now shifting initial focus to Krw1140.1-1148.1 where the
200-DMA is situated. Bears now look for a close below the 55-DMA to gain
breathing room and below Krw1128.5 to signal a false break higher and see
initial focus return to Krw1119.0. Daily studies have corrected back to more
neutral levels and giving few clues.
DOLLAR-MYR TECHS: Pressuring 100-WMA
*RES 4: Myr4.2811 - 21-DMA
*RES 3: Myr4.2680 - High Sept 5
*RES 2: Myr4.2575 - Low Aug 29 now resistance
*RES 1: Myr4.2485 - High Sept 6
*PRICE: Myr4.2388 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Myr4.2388 - 2017 Low Sept 6
*SUP 2: Myr4.2380 - High Nov 9 now support
*SUP 3: Myr4.2362 - 100-WMA
*SUP 4: Myr4.1800 - Low Nov 9
*COMMENTARY: Sideways trading that has defined since June has ended with a
bearish close and fresh 2017 lows that see immediate focus on the 100-WMA with a
close below needed to confirm focus on Myr4.1800. The Bollinger base (Myr4.2533)
is the key concern for bears and sees the move looking a little ahead of itself.
In saying that, bulls now need a close above Myr4.2575 to ease bearish pressure
and above Myr4.2680 to shift focus back to 21 & 55-DMAs.
DOLLAR-CNH TECHS: 200-WMA Now The Focus
*RES 4: Cnh6.6276 - High Aug 29
*RES 3: Cnh6.6131 - High Aug 30
*RES 2: Cnh6.5827 - Low Aug 30 now resistance
*RES 1: Cnh6.5663 - High Sept 4
*PRICE: Cnh6.5393 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Cnh6.5242 - 2017 Low Sept 4
*SUP 2: Cnh6.5077 - Low May 6 2016
*SUP 3: Cnh6.4923 - High Apr 29 2016 now support
*SUP 4: Cnh6.4660 - Low Apr 20 2016
*COMMENTARY: The pair remains heavy after recent fresh 2017 and 12mth lows with
bears now focused on the 200-WMA (Cnh6.4420). Daily studies at O/S levels and
the Bollinger base (Cnh6.5152) remain key concerns for bears. Layers of
resistance remain and weigh on the pair with bulls still needing a close above
Cnh6.5827 to ease bearish pressure and above Cnh6.6131 to hint at a move back to
Cnh6.6539.
DOLLAR-PHP TECHS: Bears Need Close Below Php50.900
*RES 4: Php51.700 - High Aug 3 2006
*RES 3: Php51.630 - 2017 High Aug 18
*RES 2: Php51.390 - Low Aug 18 now resistance
*RES 1: Php51.250 - High Sept 4
*PRICE: Php50.095 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Php50.900 - Lows Aug 11 & 14
*SUP 2: Php50.840 - High July 25 now support
*SUP 3: Php50.695 - 55-DMA
*SUP 4: Php50.680 - High Aug 9 now support
*COMMENTARY: The correction lower from 2017 and 11year highs sees bears focused
on Php50.900 with a close below needed to shift focus to Php50.485-695 where the
55-DMA and bull channel base are located. Daily studies have corrected back to
more neutral levels. Bulls still need a close above Php51.390 to reconfirm focus
on tests of Php51.630-700 where 2017 highs are located.
DOLLAR-THB TECHS: Bulls Need Close Above 21-DMA
*RES 4: Thb33.49 - 55-DMA
*RES 3: Thb33.41 - High July 27
*RES 2: Thb33.21 - 21-DMA
*RES 1: Thb33.16 - Daily Bear channel top
*PRICE: Thb33.13 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Thb33.09 - 2017 Low Sept 4
*SUP 2: Thb32.98 - Monthly Low May 1 2015
*SUP 3: Thb32.55 - Daily Bear channel base
*SUP 4: Thb32.52 - Low Apr 27 2015
*COMMENTARY: Hesitation ahead of May 2015 monthly lows continues with very
narrow Bollinger bands suggestive of a breakout. Bulls need a close above the
21-DMA to confirm an easing of bearish pressure. Bulls then need a close above
Thb33.41 to shift focus to layers of resistance Thb33.49-62 where the
longer-term bear channel top is located. Bears need a close below Thb32.98 to
retain focus on Thb32.52-55 where the channel base it noted.
DOLLAR-IDR TECHS:
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +44 207-862-7435; email: kyle.shortland@mni-news.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.