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Free AccessMNI BRIEF: China November PMI Rises Further Above 50
MNI US Macro Weekly: Politics To The Fore
MNI Dollar-Asia Morning FX Technical Analysis
19 October 2017
By Kyle Shortland
Click below for today's MNI FX Technical Analysis Report -
http://tinyurl.com/pzkomnu
DOLLAR-SING TECHS: Sgd1.3587 Resistance Key Today
*RES 4: Sgd1.3720 - High July 17
*RES 3: Sgd1.3690 - High Oct 6
*RES 2: Sgd1.3650 - 100-DMA, Daily bear channel top
*RES 1: Sgd1.3587 - High Oct 18
*PRICE: Sgd1.3565 @ 2200GMT
*SUP 1: Sgd1.3555 - Hourly support Oct 18
*SUP 2: Sgd1.3530 - High Oct 17 now support
*SUP 3: Sgd1.3484 - Low Oct 13
*SUP 4: Sgd1.3437 - Bollinger band base
*COMMENTARY: The break of the Sgd1.3580 resistance has so far lacked follow
through with bulls now needing a close above Sgd1.3587 to confirm a shift in
focus to Sgd1.3650-1.3720 where the bear channel top and 100-DMA are located.
Initial support is noted at Sgd1.3555 but bears still need a close below
Sgd1.3530 to ease pressure on resistance layers and below Sgd1.3484 to shift
focus back to 20 17 lows (Sgd1.3342).
DOLLAR-WON TECHS: Krw1125.1 & 21-DMA Levels Key
*RES 4: Krw1143.0 - High Oct 10
*RES 3: Krw1140.3 - 200-DMA
*RES 2: Krw1137.7 - High Oct 11
*RES 1: Krw1133.5 - 21-DMA
*PRICE: Krw1129.9 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Krw1125.1 - Low Sept 8
*SUP 2: Krw1122.2 - Bollinger band base
*SUP 3: Krw1119.0 - Low Aug 28
*SUP 4: Krw1114.3 - High July 27 now support
*COMMENTARY: The recovery from ahead of the Krw1125.1 support has stalled ahead
of the 21-DMA. Bulls continue to look for a close above the 21-DMA to ease
bearish pressure and above Krw1137.7 to shift focus back to the 200-DMA. The
Krw1125.1 support remains key. Bears continue to look for a close below this
level to shift overall focus back to 2017 lows. Daily studies have room to move
before O/S becomes an issue.
DOLLAR-MYR TECHS: Above Myr4.2680 To Shift Focus To 200-DMA
*RES 4: Myr4.2550 - High Sept 28
*RES 3: Myr4.2457 - 55-DMA
*RES 2: Myr4.2411 - Daily Bear channel top
*RES 1: Myr4.2350 - High Oct 9
*PRICE: Myr4.2210 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Myr4.2062 - Low Oct 16
*SUP 2: Myr4.1940 - Low Oct 13
*SUP 3: Myr4.1870 - Low Sept 20
*SUP 4: Myr4.1810 - 2017 Low Sept 8
*COMMENTARY: The lack of follow through on Friday's dip was less than ideal for
bears and resulted in a break of Myr4.2242 although follow through has been
lacking. Overall the Myr4.2411-2680 resistance region is key with bulls needing
a close above Myr4.2680 to end bearish hope and target Myr4.3112-3380 where the
200-DMA is situated. Bears now need a close below Myr4.2062 to ease pressure on
resistance layers and retain focus on tests of 2017 lows.
DOLLAR-CNH TECHS: Cnh6.6346 Resistance Key Today
*RES 4: Cnh6.6909 - 100-DMA
*RES 3: Cnh6.6904 - High Oct 3
*RES 2: Cnh6.6639 - High Oct 9
*RES 1: Cnh6.6346 - Low Sept 28 now resistance
*PRICE: Cnh6.6189 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Cnh6.5923 - High Oct 11 now support
*SUP 2: Cnh6.5568 - Low Oct 11
*SUP 3: Cnh6.5409 - Low Sept 18
*SUP 4: Cnh6.5219 - Low Sept 13
*COMMENTARY: The pair is currently flirting with 21 & 55-DMAs (Cnh6.6164) with
bulls now needing a close above Cnh6.6346 to confirm a break of the DMAs and to
shift focus back to Cnh6.6639-6.6609 where the 100-DMA is located. Initial
support is now noted at Cnh6.5923 with bears needing a close below to ease
renewed bullish pressure and return immediate focus to the Cnh6.5568 support.
Below this level initially targets Cnh6.6053.
DOLLAR-PHP TECHS: Supported Ahead Of 21-DMA
*RES 4: Php52.560 - Low July 18 2006 now resistance
*RES 3: Php52.085 - Monthly Low July 10 2006 now resistance
*RES 2: Php51.700 - High Aug 3 2006
*RES 1: Php51.630 - High Oct 3
*PRICE: Php51.405 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Php51.160 - Low Oct 10
*SUP 2: Php51.097 - 21-DMA
*SUP 3: Php50.983 - 55-DMA
*SUP 4: Php50.852 - Daily Bull channel base
*COMMENTARY: Consolidation above the 21-DMA continues with bulls needing a close
above Php51.700 to confirm focus on the Php52.085-56 region. The Bollinger band
top (Php51.541) and daily studies correcting from modestly O/B levels are seen
as concerns for bulls. In saying that, bears need a close below the 55-DMA to
return pressure o the daily bull channel base.
DOLLAR-THB TECHS: Bulls Need Close Above Thb33.25
*RES 4: Thb33.70 - High July 20
*RES 3: Thb33.54 - High Oct 3
*RES 2: Thb33.47 - 100-DMA
*RES 1: Thb33.25 - High Oct 11
*PRICE: Thb33.14 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Thb33.01 - 2017 Low Sept 7 & 8, Oct 16
*SUP 2: Thb32.98 - Monthly Low May 1 2015
*SUP 3: Thb32.97 - Bollinger band base
*SUP 4: Thb32.52 - Low Apr 27 2015
*COMMENTARY: Layers of resistance remain Thb33.18-25 where 21 & 55-DMAs are
situated. Bulls continue to look for a close above Thb33.25 to ease immediate
bearish pressure and above Thb33.54 to confirm a break of the 100-DMA and bear
channel top (Thb33.40) and to target Thb33.70-88. While Thb33.25 caps bears
retain the advantage with a close below Thb32.98 needed to shift initial focus
to Thb32.52.
DOLLAR-IDR TECHS: 21-DMA Now Key Support
*RES 4: Idr13741 - Daily Bull channel top
*RES 3: Idr13622 - Bollinger band top
*RES 2: Idr13585 - High Dec 1 2016, 2017 High Oct 3
*RES 1: Idr13533 - Low Oct 3 now resistance
*PRICE: Idr13515 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Idr13480 - Low Oct 17
*SUP 2: Idr13454 - 21-DMA
*SUP 3: Idr13415 - High May 19 now support
*SUP 4: Idr13410 - High July 7 & 10 now support
*COMMENTARY: Consolidation above Idr13455 sees bulls gaining confidence with
immediate focus on Idr13533. Bulls need a close above this level to reconfirm
the bullish bias and above 2017 highs to focus on the daily bull channel top.
The 21-DMA is now key support. Bears need a close below the 21-DMA to ease
bullish pressure and shift focus back to Idr13338-13367 where 55, 100 & 200-DMAs
are clustered.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +44 207-862-7435; email: kyle.shortland@mni-news.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.