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MNI Dollar-Asia Morning FX Technical Analysis
2 November 2017
By Kyle Shortland
Click below for today's MNI FX Technical Analysis Report -
http://tinyurl.com/pzkomnu
DOLLAR-SING TECHS: Sgd1.3558-93 Support Region Key
*RES 4: Sgd1.3720 - High July 17
*RES 3: Sgd1.3689 - Bollinger band top
*RES 2: Sgd1.3677 - Hourly resistance Oct 27
*RES 1: Sgd1.3643 - High Nov 1
*PRICE: Sgd1.3624 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Sgd1.3592 - 21-DMA
*SUP 2: Sgd1.3558 - 55-DMA
*SUP 3: Sgd1.3496 - Bollinger band base
*SUP 4: Sgd1.3484 - Low Oct 13
*COMMENTARY: Focus returned to Sgd1.3558-92 where the daily bull channel base,
21 & 55-DMAs are located this week following the close below the 100-DMA
(Sgd1.3631) Monday. Bears need a close below the 55-DMA now to shift immediate
focus to Sgd1.3484 and overall focus back to tests of 2017 lows (Sgd1.3343).
Initial resistance remains at Sgd1.3643 with bulls needing a close above to ease
pressure on key supports.
DOLLAR-WON TECHS: Remains Heavy, Focus On 2017 Low
*RES 4: Krw1126.8 - High Oct 30
*RES 3: Krw1123.5 - Low Oct 30 now resistance
*RES 2: Krw1119.8 - 200-WMA
*RES 1: Krw1119.0 - Low Aug 28 now resistance
*PRICE: Krw1114.5 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Krw1114.2 - Low Nov 1
*SUP 2: Krw1110.5 - 2017 Low Mar 28
*SUP 3: Krw1107.0 - Low Oct 10 2016
*SUP 4: Krw1097.8 - Low Sept 30 2016
*COMMENTARY: Gapping moves continue to leave the pair looking heavy following
last week's topside failures ahead of key DMAs with focus now on 2017 lows
following the close below the 200-WMA. Bears look for a weekly close below to
add weight to their case. Bears now need a close below 2017 lows to target 2016
lows (Krw1089.7). Bulls need a close above the 200-WMA to ease bearish pressure
and above Krw1126.8 to hint at a bounce back to the 55-DMA (Krw1131.7).
DOLLAR-MYR TECHS: 100-DMA Capped Last Week
*RES 4: Myr4.2860 - High Aug 30
*RES 3: Myr4.2680 - High Sept 5
*RES 2: Myr4.2586 - 100-DMA
*RES 1: Myr4.2558 - High Oct 26
*PRICE: Myr4.2310 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Myr4.2100 - Low Oct 30
*SUP 2: Myr4.2062 - Low Oct 16
*SUP 3: Myr4.1940 - Low Oct 13
*SUP 4: Myr4.1870 - Low Sept 20
*COMMENTARY: The 100-DMA capped rallies last week with bulls needing a close
above Myr4.2680 to confirm a break and hint at a move back to Myr4.3112-3282
where the 200-DMA is noted. Bulls look for a close above My4.2860 to add support
to their case. Bears now look for a close below Myr4.2100 to shift focus back to
Myr4.1800-1940 following the lack of downside follow through Friday through
Tuesday.
DOLLAR-CNH TECHS: Bears Need Close Below Cnh6.5923
*RES 4: Cnh6.6778 - 100-DMA
*RES 3: Cnh6.6651 - High Oct 27
*RES 2: Cnh6.6404 - High Nov 1
*RES 1: Cnh6.6179 - 21-DMA
*PRICE: Cnh6.6079 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Cnh6.6059 - 55-DMA
*SUP 2: Cnh6.5923 - High Oct 11 now support
*SUP 3: Cnh6.5601 - Bollinger band base
*SUP 4: Cnh6.5568 - Low Oct 11
*COMMENTARY: Daily studies correcting from modestly O/B have taken their toll
with the pair pressuring the 55-DMA and closing below the 21-DMA. Bears continue
to look for a close below Cnh6.5923 to confirm breaks of 21 & 55-DMAs, easing
bullish pressure, and below Cnh6.5568 to initially pressure Cnh6.5053. Bulls now
need a close above Cnh6.6404 to gain breathing room and return initial focus to
Cnh6.6651-6904.
DOLLAR-PHP TECHS: Looking A Little Heavy
*RES 4: Php52.560 - Low July 18 2006 now resistance
*RES 3: Php52.431 - Daily Bull channel top
*RES 2: Php52.085 - Monthly Low July 10 2006 now resistance
*RES 1: Php51.850 - 2017 High Oct 27
*PRICE: Php51.610 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Php51.532 - Daily Bull channel base A
*SUP 2: Php51.363 - 21-DMA
*SUP 3: Php51.350 - Low Oct 18
*SUP 4: Php51.161 - 55-DMA
*COMMENTARY: Daily studies at O/B levels and the Bollinger top (Php51.885)
recently capping appear to be impacting with the pair looking a little heavy
after trading at fresh 2017 highs last week. Focus now shifts to 21 & 55-DMAs.
Bulls now need a close above 2017 highs to reconfirm the bullish bias and
initially focus on tests of Php52.085.
DOLLAR-THB TECHS: Focus Back on 2017 Low
*RES 4: Thb33.54 - High Oct 3
*RES 3: Thb33.39 - 100-DMA, Bollinger band top
*RES 2: Thb33.35 - High Oct 27
*RES 1: Thb33.27 - Daily Bear channel top
*PRICE: Thb33.13 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Thb33.01 - 2017 Low Sept 7 & 8, Oct 16
*SUP 2: Thb33.00 - Bollinger band base
*SUP 3: Thb32.98 - Monthly Low May 1 2015
*SUP 4: Thb32.52 - Low Apr 27 2015
*COMMENTARY: The break of Thb33.25 has lacked follow through with recent topside
hesitation resulting in a break of Thb33.10 with immediate focus returned to the
2017 low. Overall bears need a close below Thb32.98 to shift focus to Thb32.52.
Bulls now need a close above the 100-DMA to ease bearish pressure and above
Thb33.54 to hint at a move back to Thb33.77-34.01 where the 200-DMA is situated.
DOLLAR-IDR TECHS: Bulls Need Close Above Idr13605
*RES 4: Idr13698 - Monthly High June 2 2016
*RES 3: Idr13652 - Rising TL off Sept & Oct highs
*RES 2: Idr13640 - 2017 High Oct 27
*RES 1: Idr13605 - High Oct 30
*PRICE: Idr13575 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Idr13527 - 21-DMA
*SUP 2: Idr13500 - Low Oct 23
*SUP 3: Idr13455 - Low Oct 5
*SUP 4: Idr13448 - Bollinger band base
*COMMENTARY: Daily studies now correcting from O/B are a key concern for bulls
and have resulted in a break and closes below the daily bull channel base
(Idr13611). Immediate focus has shifted to the 21-DMA with bears needing a close
below to add weight to their case for a move back to Idr13455. Bulls need a
close above Idr13605 to ease bearish pressure and return immediate focus to 2017
highs.
DOLLAR-INR TECHS: Inr64.330 Support Now Key
*RES 4: Inr65.413 - High Oct 9
*RES 3: Inr65.186 - 200-DMA
*RES 2: Inr64.961 - Daily Bear channel top
*RES 1: Inr64.700 - High Nov 1
*PRICE: Inr64.590 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Inr64.469 - 100-DMA
*SUP 2: Inr64.330 - High Aug 16 now support
*SUP 3: Inr64.148 - Daily Bear channel base
*SUP 4: Inr63.930 - Low Sept 12
*COMMENTARY: Having remained capped ahead of the 21 (Inr65.042) and 200-DMAs on
the recovery from Inr64.685 the pair is again looking heavy and pressuring the
100-DMA. Bears now look for a close below Inr64.330 to initially target the bear
channel base with overall focus shifting to Inr63.560-775 where 2017 lows are
situated. Bulls now need a close above Inr64.700 to gain breathing room and
above the channel top to initially focus on the 200-DMA.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +44 207-862-7435; email: kyle.shortland@mni-news.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.