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Free AccessMNI US MARKETS ANALYSIS - USD/JPY Erases Election Rally
MNI US OPEN - RBNZ Cuts 50bps, OCR Forecast Slightly Higher
MNI China Daily Summary: Wednesday, November 27
MNI Dollar-Asia Morning FX Technical Analysis
21 November 2017
By Kyle Shortland
Click below for today's MNI FX Technical Analysis Report -
http://tinyurl.com/pzkomnu
DOLLAR-SING TECHS: 200-WMA & 21-DMA Levels Key
*RES 4: Sgd1.3720 - High July 17
*RES 3: Sgd1.3677 - Hourly resistance Oct 27
*RES 2: Sgd1.3659 - High Nov 6
*RES 1: Sgd1.3607 - 21-DMA
*PRICE: Sgd1.3569 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Sgd1.3525- 200-WMA
*SUP 2: Sgd1.3484 - Low Oct 13
*SUP 3: Sgd1.3430 - Low Sept 22
*SUP 4: Sgd1.3399 - Low Sept 20
*COMMENTARY: The failure to produce a break above Sgd1.3659 left the pair
looking heavy as it flirts with the 55-DMA (Sgd1.3560). Bears continue to look
for a close below the 200-WMA to add weight to their case for a move back to
2017 lows with below Sgd1.3484 to confirm. Bulls still need a close above the
21-DMA to gain breathing room and shift focus back to layers of resistance
Sgd1.3659-1.3720.
DOLLAR-WON TECHS: Krw1110.5 Resistance Key This Week
*RES 4: Krw1116.9 - 21-DMA
*RES 3: Krw1116.6 - High Nov 15
*RES 2: Krw1110.5 - Low Mar 28 now resistance
*RES 1: Krw1107.5 - High Nov 16
*PRICE: Krw1100.6 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Krw1093.0 - 2017 Low Nov 17
*SUP 2: Krw1089.7 - 2016 Low Sept 7
*SUP 3: Krw1084.0 - Low May 18 2015
*SUP 4: Krw1078.8 - Low May 4 2015
*COMMENTARY: Topside failure ahead of the 21-DMA last week resulted in a
dramatic sell-off to fresh 2017 and 14mth lows Friday although follow through
was a little lacking courtesy of the Bollinger base (Krw1098.9). Layers of
resistance have been left in the wake with the close above buying bulls
breathing room but a close above Krw1110.5 remains needed to shift focus back to
the 21-DMA.
DOLLAR-MYR TECHS: Bears Focused On Myr4.0900
*RES 4: Myr4.2170 - 55-DMA
*RES 3: Myr4.2050 - Low Nov 9 now resistance
*RES 2: Myr4.2020 - High Nov 10
*RES 1: Myr4.1730 - Lows Nov 10 & 15
*PRICE: Myr4.1623 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Myr4.1490 - 2017 Low Nov 20
*SUP 2: Myr4.1400 - Low Oct 11 2016
*SUP 3: Myr4.1070 - Low Sept 29 2016
*SUP 4: Myr4.0900 - Low Sept 13 2016
*COMMENTARY: The 100-DMA capped rallies in recent weeks resulting in a sell-off
to fresh 2017 and 13mth lows with bears now focused on the Myr4.0900 support.
O/S daily studies and the Bollinger base (Myr4.1594) remain key concerns for
bears. Bulls still need a close above Myr4.1730 to ease immediate bearish
pressure and above Myr4.2050 to shift immediate focus back to the 55-DMA.
DOLLAR-CNH TECHS: Bulls Need Close Above Cnh6.6651
*RES 4: Cnh6.7154 - Low Aug 1 now resistance
*RES 3: Cnh6.6904 - High Oct 3
*RES 2: Cnh6.6651 - High Oct 27
*RES 1: Cnh6.6545 - 100-DMA
*PRICE: Cnh6.6464 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Cnh6.6189 - Low Nov 15
*SUP 2: Cnh6.6173 - Daily Bull channel base
*SUP 3: Cnh6.6079 - 55-DMA
*SUP 4: Cnh6.5852 - Low Nov 2
*COMMENTARY: Rallies remain capped ahead of the 100-DMA with bears needing a
close below the 55-DMA to add weight to their case for a move back to Cnh6.5568
and below Cnh6.5852 to confirm. The Cnh6.6651 resistance remains key. Bulls need
a close above to confirm a break of the 100-DMA and above Cnh6.6904 to target
the 200-DMA (Cnh6.7564).
DOLLAR-PHP TECHS: Bears Focused On 200-DMA
*RES 4: Php51.470 - High Nov 8
*RES 3: Php51.335 - 21-DMA
*RES 2: Php51.230 - High Nov 15
*RES 1: Php51.030 - High Nov 20
*PRICE: Php50.950 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Php50.720 - Low Sept 26
*SUP 2: Php50.550 - Monthly Low Sept 25
*SUP 3: Php50.453 - 200-DMA
*SUP 4: Php50.250 - Low Aug 7
*COMMENTARY: The correction lower from 2017 highs has defined November so far
with bears currently focused on the 200-DMA. Daily studies at O/S levels and the
Bollinger base (Php50.793) remain key concerns for bears with potential to limit
follow through. In saying that, bulls now need a close above Php51.030 to ease
bearish pressure and above Php51.230 to shift focus to Php51.335-470 where the
21-DMA is located.
DOLLAR-THB TECHS: Bulls Need Close Above Thb32.92
*RES 4: Thb33.15 - 55-DMA
*RES 3: Thb33.09 - 21-DMA
*RES 2: Thb33.07 - High Nov 15
*RES 1: Thb32.92 - High Nov 17
*PRICE: Thb32.81 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Thb33.79 - Weekly Bollinger band base
*SUP 2: Thb33.73 - 2017 Low Nov 17
*SUP 3: Thb32.52 - Low Apr 27 2015
*SUP 4: Thb32.14 - Daily Bear channel base
*COMMENTARY: Continued fresh 2017 lows have reconfirmed a bearish bias with
bears also reconfirming overall focus on tests of 2017 lows. O/S daily studies
and the Bollinger bases remain key concerns for bears. Bulls still need a close
above Thb32.92 to gain breathing room and above the 55-DMA to shift immediate
focus to Thb33.28-35 where the 100-DMA is situated.
DOLLAR-IDR TECHS: Bulls Need Close Above Idr13558
*RES 4: Idr13690 - Rising TL off Sept & Oct highs
*RES 3: Idr13640 - 2017 High Oct 27
*RES 2: Idr13605 - High Oct 30
*RES 1: Idr13558 - Low Nov 13
*PRICE: Idr13533 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Idr13490 - Low Nov 7
*SUP 2: Idr13455 - Low Oct 5
*SUP 3: Idr13450 - 55-DMA
*SUP 4: Idr13402 - 100-DMA
*COMMENTARY: The pair currently flirts with the 21-DMA (Idr13544). The Idr13558
resistance remains key with bulls still needing a close above to gain traction
above -the 21-DMA and shift focus back to Idr13605-640. While Idr13558 caps
immediate bearish focus remains on the 55-DMA with a close below last seen in
late Sept.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +44 207-862-7435; email: kyle.shortland@mni-news.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.