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Free AccessMNI BRIEF: BOJ Tankan To Show Slipping Sentiment
MNI: PBOC Net Drains CNY288.1 Bln via OMO Friday
MNI Dollar-Asia Morning FX Technical Analysis
9 February 2018
By Kyle Shortland
Please click on this link to access MNI's daily Dollar-Asia FX Technical
Analysis Pdf http://tinyurl.com/pzkomnu
DOLLAR-SING TECHS: Bulls Need Close Above 55-DMA
*RES 4: Sgd1.3443 - 100-DMA
*RES 3: Sgd1.3415 - Low Dec 1 now resistance
*RES 2: Sgd1.3369 - High Jan 10
*RES 1: Sgd1.3331 - 55-DMA
*PRICE: Sgd1.3304 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Sgd1.3252 - Hourly support Feb 8
*SUP 2: Sgd1.3227 - Hourly support Feb 7
*SUP 3: Sgd1.3180 - 21-DMA
*SUP 4: Sgd1.3149 - High Jan 30 now support
*COMMENTARY: Bounces from Sgd1.3149 resulted in immediate focus shifting to the
55-DMA. Bulls look for a close above to add support to the case for a move
targeting Sgd1.3538-82 where the 200-DMA is located. Daily studies approaching
O/B are a key concern for bulls. In saying that, bears now need a close below
Sgd1.3227 to ease bullish pressure and below Sgd1.3149 to confirm a break of the
21-DMA, easing bullish pressure and shifting focus back to tests of 2018 lows.
DOLLAR-WON TECHS: 21 & 55-DMAs Key Support
*RES 4: Krw1107.5 - High Nov 16
*RES 3: Krw1101.4 - High Nov 20
*RES 2: Krw1098.9 - 100-DMA
*RES 1: Krw1090.4 - Bollinger band top
*PRICE: Krw1087.9 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Krw1085.3 - Low Feb 8
*SUP 2: Krw1079.5 - Low Feb 7
*SUP 3: Krw1073.9 - High Jan 30 now support
*SUP 4: Krw1071.3 - 21-DMA
*COMMENTARY: The pair is now supported around the 55-DMA and capped around the
100-DMA. Bears need a close below the 55-DMA to hint at a correction back to
2018 lows with below the 21-DMA to confirm. Bulls still need a close above
Krw1101.4 to confirm a break of the 100-DMA and shift focus to Krw1107.5-1116.6
where the 200-DMA (Krw1114.8) is located.
DOLLAR-MYR TECHS: Hesitating Ahead Of 21-DMA
*RES 4: Myr3.9850 - High Jan 12
*RES 3: Myr3.9689 - High Jan 18
*RES 2: Myr3.9491 - High Jan 22
*RES 1: Myr3.9363 - 21-DMA
*PRICE: Myr3.9070 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Myr3.8820 - Low Feb 2
*SUP 2: Myr3.8670 - 2018 Low Jan 29
*SUP 3: Myr3.8470 - 2016 Low Apr 13
*SUP 4: Myr3.8180 - High July 30 2015 now support
*COMMENTARY: Recent 2018 & 2yr lows lacked follow through which is a concern for
bears given daily studies correcting from O/S. Immediate pressure has returned
to the 21-DMA with bulls now needing a close above Myr3.9491 to confirm a break
and hint at a move back to Myr4.0200-0450 where the 55-DMA (Myr4.0235) is
located. While Myr3.9491 caps bears remain focused on retests of 2018 lows.
DOLLAR-CNH TECHS: Cnh6.3870 Resistance Key Today
*RES 4: Cnh6.3870 - Low Jan 19 now resistance
*RES 3: Cnh6.3732 - 21-DMA
*RES 2: Cnh6.3591 - High Jan 25
*RES 1: Cnh6.3194 - High Feb 6
*PRICE: Cnh6.3676 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Cnh6.3248 - High Feb 7 now support
*SUP 2: Cnh6.2947 - Low Feb 8
*SUP 3: Cnh6.2480 - High Nar 18 2015 now support
*SUP 4: Cnh6.2478 - Bollinger band base
*COMMENTARY: 2018 & 2+ year lows were seen again Wednesday but the lack of
follow through when combined with O/S daily studies looking to correct and
momentum divergence has resulted in an aggressive correction and currently
flirts with the 21-DMA (Cnh6.3674). Bulls need a close above Cnh6.3870 to shift
focus back to Cnh6.4475-5017 where the 55-DMA (Cnh6.4931) is located. Below
Cnh6.3248 eases bullish pressure.
DOLLAR-PHP TECHS: Bulls Now Need Close Above Php51.420
*RES 4: Php51.850 - 2017 High Oct 27
*RES 3: Php51.760 - 2018 High Feb 2
*RES 2: Php51.420 - Low Feb 5 now resistance
*RES 1: Php51.350 - High Feb 7
*PRICE: Php51.310 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Php51.050 - Low Feb 7
*SUP 2: Php50.987 - 21-DMA
*SUP 3: Php50.950 - High Jan 26 now support
*SUP 4: Php50.876 - 100-DMA
*COMMENTARY: Continued hesitation ahead of 2017 highs has taken its toll with a
correction lower that now sees immediate focus on 21 & 100-DMAs. Bears now need
a close below the 100-DMA to confirm focus on Php50.588-720 where 55 & 200-DMAs
are situated. Bulls need a close above Php51.420 to regain the upper hand and
return initial focus to 2017 highs. Correcting O/S daily studies are seen
weighing.
DOLLAR-THB TECHS: Immediate Focus Shifts To Thb32.06-62
*RES 4: Thb32.46 - Daily Bear channel top
*RES 3: Thb32.39 - Low Jan 2 now resistance
*RES 2: Thb32.21 - 55-DMA
*RES 1: Thb32.06 - Low Jan 10 now resistance
*PRICE: Thb31.89 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Thb31.72 - Alternating support/resistance
*SUP 2: Thb31.39 - Low Feb 7
*SUP 3: Thb31.27 - 2018 Low Jan 25
*SUP 4: Thb31.16 - Low Nov 6 2013
*COMMENTARY: The recovery from recent 2018 & 4+yr lows has finally managed a
close above Thb31.72, easing bearish pressure and shifting focus to layers of
resistance Thb32.06-62 where the 55 & 100-DMAs and bear channel top are
situated. Overall bulls need a close above the 100-DMA (Thb32.62 to target the
200-DMA (Thb33.17). Bears now need a close below Thb31.720 to ease renewed
bullish pressure.
DOLLAR-IDR TECHS: Above Idr13640 Initially Targets Idr13698
*RES 4: Idr13698 - Monthly High June 2 2016
*RES 3: Idr13661 - Weekly Bollinger band top
*RES 2: Idr13640 - 2017 High Oct 27
*RES 1: Idr13622 - 2018 High Feb 8
*PRICE: Idr13600 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Idr13590 - Low Feb 8
*SUP 2: Idr13510 - Low Feb 7
*SUP 3: Idr13476 - 55-DMA
*SUP 4: Idr13450 - High Feb 2 now support
*COMMENTARY: The recovery from 2018 lows (Idr13265) resulted in fresh 2018 &
4mth highs although follow through remains lacking with daily studies looking to
correct from modestly O/B. Bears now need a close below Idr13510 to ease
immediate bearish pressure and below Idr13450 to confirm a break of 55 &
100-DMAs and shift initial focus to Idr13370-394 where the 21-DMA is noted.
Bulls need a close above Idr13640 to initially target Idr13698.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +44 207-862-7435; email: kyle.shortland@mni-news.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.