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EM LATAM CREDIT: MNI EM Credit Market Wrap - LATAM

EM LATAM CREDIT
      
MNI EM Credit Market Wrap - LATAM     
      
Measure Level Δ DoD 
5yr UST 4.42% +2.0bp 
10yr UST 4.61% -0.2bp 
CDX EM 97.30 0.04  
CDX EM IG 100.88 0.03  
CDX EM HY 93.45 0.06  
WTI Crude 77.9 -0.8 
Gold 2701 -13.1 
      
USDMXN 20.78 -0.07 
USDBRL 6.07 +0.01 
USDCLP 1006.1 -6.19 
USDPEN 3.74 -0.02 
USDCOP 4336 -8.35 
      
Main stories recap:     
      
Calm before the storm with the US Presidential inauguration looming and President-elect Trump expected to make numerous policy announcements afterward so stronger US economic data on Housing and Industrial Production failed to move US Treasuries much, though it did seem to help US Equities which triggered a bit of risk on in Emerging Markets. Almost all Latam benchmark sovereign and corporate bonds were up on the day with spreads generally 2-5 bps tighter. Laggards included Argentina which moved 7 bps wider on the 10yr bonds as traders braced for possible news from Milei’s meeting with the head of the IMF on Sunday. Profit taking on El Salvador bonds continued with 10-year bonds down a point today, 9 bps wider, but that’s still about 350 bps tighter from 4 months ago and about 100 bps tighter than 2 months ago so valuations got stretched and left the bonds vulnerable to investors taking profits. Pemex was also weaker, retreating from its 2 point rally on Wednesday.
      
BRASKM - Braskem to expand capacity, announces projects   
      
CDEL - Codelco in talks with Saudi on copper investment   
      
ECUA - President Naboa temporrary handover of power to campaign for election 
      
COLOM - Petro suspending peace talks with ELN Guerillas   
      
ARCO - Arcos Dorados announced investor meetings Jan. 20 and tender for 2027 notes
      
MEX - EU/Mex revamped free-trade agreement    
      
ARGENT - IMF Chief economist comments on Argentina economic policy  
      
GEOPAR - Lays out Capex, production and financial plans   
      
COLOM - Colombia Nov. Industrial Production Falls 2.1% Y/y, Est. -0.3%  
      
PEMEX - Schlumberger says Mex production activity to decline   
      
ECOPET - Repairs to Colombian Cano Limon Oil Pipe Underway After Attack 
      
BRAZIL - Brazilian Asset Manager Bradesco reduces Brazil exposure  
      
ARGENT - Caputo announces primary surplus of 1.8% of GDP for 2024  
      
CFELEC - CFE expands into the telecom market     
      
FUNOTR - Moody's rates new issue Baa3     
      
BRAZIL - Haddad expresses worry about debt     
      
ARCO - Moody's affirms Ba1     
      
ALIPE - Affirmed at BBB by Fitch     
      
CMPCCI - Chairman Gazitua Achondo Won’t Run for Re-Election  
      
COLOM - Colombia Breaks Off Peace Talks as Rebels Seek Massive Land grab 
      
ARGENT - Bolivia in talks to restart gas supply     
      
PETBRA - Petrobras sets new production records at refineries   
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MNI EM Credit Market Wrap - LATAM     
      
Measure Level Δ DoD 
5yr UST 4.42% +2.0bp 
10yr UST 4.61% -0.2bp 
CDX EM 97.30 0.04  
CDX EM IG 100.88 0.03  
CDX EM HY 93.45 0.06  
WTI Crude 77.9 -0.8 
Gold 2701 -13.1 
      
USDMXN 20.78 -0.07 
USDBRL 6.07 +0.01 
USDCLP 1006.1 -6.19 
USDPEN 3.74 -0.02 
USDCOP 4336 -8.35 
      
Main stories recap:     
      
Calm before the storm with the US Presidential inauguration looming and President-elect Trump expected to make numerous policy announcements afterward so stronger US economic data on Housing and Industrial Production failed to move US Treasuries much, though it did seem to help US Equities which triggered a bit of risk on in Emerging Markets. Almost all Latam benchmark sovereign and corporate bonds were up on the day with spreads generally 2-5 bps tighter. Laggards included Argentina which moved 7 bps wider on the 10yr bonds as traders braced for possible news from Milei’s meeting with the head of the IMF on Sunday. Profit taking on El Salvador bonds continued with 10-year bonds down a point today, 9 bps wider, but that’s still about 350 bps tighter from 4 months ago and about 100 bps tighter than 2 months ago so valuations got stretched and left the bonds vulnerable to investors taking profits. Pemex was also weaker, retreating from its 2 point rally on Wednesday.
      
BRASKM - Braskem to expand capacity, announces projects   
      
CDEL - Codelco in talks with Saudi on copper investment   
      
ECUA - President Naboa temporrary handover of power to campaign for election 
      
COLOM - Petro suspending peace talks with ELN Guerillas   
      
ARCO - Arcos Dorados announced investor meetings Jan. 20 and tender for 2027 notes
      
MEX - EU/Mex revamped free-trade agreement    
      
ARGENT - IMF Chief economist comments on Argentina economic policy  
      
GEOPAR - Lays out Capex, production and financial plans   
      
COLOM - Colombia Nov. Industrial Production Falls 2.1% Y/y, Est. -0.3%  
      
PEMEX - Schlumberger says Mex production activity to decline   
      
ECOPET - Repairs to Colombian Cano Limon Oil Pipe Underway After Attack 
      
BRAZIL - Brazilian Asset Manager Bradesco reduces Brazil exposure  
      
ARGENT - Caputo announces primary surplus of 1.8% of GDP for 2024  
      
CFELEC - CFE expands into the telecom market     
      
FUNOTR - Moody's rates new issue Baa3     
      
BRAZIL - Haddad expresses worry about debt     
      
ARCO - Moody's affirms Ba1     
      
ALIPE - Affirmed at BBB by Fitch     
      
CMPCCI - Chairman Gazitua Achondo Won’t Run for Re-Election  
      
COLOM - Colombia Breaks Off Peace Talks as Rebels Seek Massive Land grab 
      
ARGENT - Bolivia in talks to restart gas supply     
      
PETBRA - Petrobras sets new production records at refineries   
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