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MNI European Morning Briefing

MNI (London)
     LONDON (MNI) - There is a pretty full calendar Tuesday, with the UK
inflation data and the ZEW survey set to dominate early proceedings.
     The European calendar gets underway at 0630GMT, with the publication of the
French October non-farm payrolls data.
     At 0930GMT, the UK inflation report will be released, including both the
November and consumer inflation numbers.
     The ONS October house price index will be published at the same time.
     UK CPI Inflation is expected to have remained at 3.0% in November, the 2017
peak, having hit the level in both September and October, meaning Bank of
England Governor Mark Carney will have once again narrowly escaped letter
writing duty.
     The median expectation is for a 0.2% rise in prices on the month, for an
unchanged 3.0% result on the year. Likewise, core CPI and RPI are expected to
come in unchanged at 2.7% and 4.0% respectively.
     Back on the Continent, at 1000GMT, the latest ZEW expectations survey will
cross the wires.
     The US calendar kicks off at 1100GMT, with the publication of the NFIB
Small Business Optimism Index.
     At 1330GMT, the latest US PPI data will cross the wires.
     Final demand PPI is expected to rise 0.3% in November after 0.4% increases
in the previous two months. Energy prices are expected to rise after a flat
October reading, while food prices are expected to temper a bit after 0.5% gain.
Excluding food and energy prices, PPI is forecast to rise 0.2% after an
above-expectation 0.4% increase in the previous month that was led by a 1.1%
jump in trade services prices. Excluding trade services as well as food and
energy, PPI is expected to post a modest gain.
     The Redbook Retail Sales Index is set for release at 1355GMT, followed by
the Kansas City Fed LMCI at 1600GMT.
     Late US data sees the Treasury Budget published at 1900GMT.
     The Treasury is expected to post a $132.0 billion budget gap in November,
down slightly from the $136.7 billion gap in November 2016.
     ECB President Mario Draghi speaks at 1900GMT, although the comments are not
expected to be policy related.
--MNI London Bureau; tel: +44 203-586-2225; email: les.commons@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com

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