Free Trial

MNI Eurozone Inflation Insight - November 2023

EUROZONE

We've just published our review of November's preliminary Eurozone inflation data, which includes breakdowns and analysis of the national inflation prints, and 17 sell-side reviews - PDF link here.

  • HICP came in below expectations for all 5 of the largest Eurozone economies, while the Eurozone-wide figures were below even the lowest analysts’ estimates (of 41 in the Bloomberg survey).
  • The surprisingly low prints, and the soft details of the reports, spurred some analysts to bring forward their expectations for the start of ECB cuts in 2024, with market pricing for reductions deepening (now 115bp priced for 2024 vs 80bp at the week’s open).
  • The data poses further downside risks to the ECB’s near-term inflation forecasts which are likely to be revised downward in the December round.

Source: Eurostat, MNI

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.