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Free Access**MNI Exclusive: PBOC To Further Open FX Market, Boost QDLP
--More Schemes Freeing Capital Control May Be Issued
--Impact from Trade Conflict With U.S. on Int'l Payment Controllable
--Surplus on Current Account To Expand
**BEIJING (MNI) - China's central bank plans to let more foreign firms
manage domestic investments in overseas markets as part of its measures to relax
restrictions on movement of capital in and out of the country, an official at
the bank's FX regulator told MNI in an interview.
The so-called Qualified Domestic Limited Partnership (QDLP), a scheme
allowing foreign institutions to tap into China's multi-trillion dollar wealth
management market, will be increased, and controls on the capital will be lifted
at an "active, gradual and controllable" pace, Wang Chunying, spokeswoman of
State Administration of Foreign Exchange, told MNI on the sideline of a press
conference on Thursday.
"We have restarted a new round of quota issuance of Qualified Domestic
Limited Partnership (QDLP) in Shanghai and a similar scheme in Shenzhen since
the end of last year; it's an active trial for the opening up of capital
market," Wang said.
--GREATER CONTROL
The promised greater latitude on capital is a reversal for the PBOC. The
QDLP scheme, first introduced in 2013, was suspended in late 2015, when China
tightened capital controls amid turmoil in its stock and currency markets, while
rapid depreciation of the yuan stoked fear of capital flight.
The change came as SAFE said it is in greater control of capital flow as
the dollar index has weakened since last year, easing pressure on the yuan. Wang
said at the press conference that she expects the dollar to further weaken as
the end of the EU's quantitative easing outweighs the impact from U.S. rate
hikes.
SAFE is also using the relaxation to show it is responding to President Xi
Jinping's call to open its markets, Wang added.
Wang declined to answer MNI's question on the current progress of QDLP
issuance, but market sources told MNI that the quota issuance has nearly
completed.
"Regulators have issued quotas quietly. Bigger institutions are the
recipients, as regulators seek to manage risks," a source in a foreign bank in
Shanghai told MNI. The market doesn't expect the government's opening-up
measures to be significant yet, he said.
--CAPITAL ACCOUNT CONVERTIBILITY
At the press conference, Wang ensured that the country will further push
forward capital account convertibility by opening up domestic stock and bond
markets, accelerating China-London Stock Connect and optimize FX management
system.
"China will support qualified and capable companies to conduct legal
outbound investment while building up a sound and competitive FX market," Wang
said.
Following Xi's directive on further opening up and PBOC Governor Yi Gang's
remark that China would steadily push ahead capital account convertibility, SAFE
announced last week it was studying dollar-denominated Qualified Domestic
Institutional Investor (QDII) reform and will improve macro-prudential
management of the investment scheme.
Wang reiterated the effort during the press conference by predicting the
cross-border capital flow of the country will remain largely in balance in 2018,
particularly in current account.
--EXPANDING SURPLUS
While answering MNI's question on the influence of Sino-U.S trade spat to
the country's international payment, Wang said "impact from the trade conflicts
is under control."
The current account surplus will be further expanded as the deficit growth
in outbound travel and investment slows.
China's service trade deficit will likely decrease as spending on overseas
travel and study has likely peaked, Wang said, adding return from China's direct
investment overseas will rise as Chinese companies improve their performance.
As a result, the country's current account surplus may likely increase,
Wang said.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 (10) 8532 5998; email: marissa.wang@marketnews.com
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 10 8532 5998; email: william.bi@mni-news.com
[TOPICS: MAQDS$,MMQPB$,M$A$$$,M$Q$$$,MI$$$$,MT$$$$,MX$$$$]
To read the full story
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Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.