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Policy
Policy
Exclusive interviews with leading policymakers that convey the true policy message that impacts markets.
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EM Policy
Exclusive interviews with leading policymakers that convey the true policy message that impacts markets.
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G10 Markets
G10 Markets
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Data
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Global Macro
Global Macro
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Get the latest on Central Bank Policy and FX & FI Markets to help inform both your strategic and tactical decision-making.
Free AccessMNI: GERMANY DATA: Flash GDP (Q1 2019) Preview -.....>
MNI: GERMANY DATA: Flash GDP (Q1 2019) Preview - 07:00 BST
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- Bbg Consensus: 0.4% q/q (sa), 0.7% y/y (wda); MNI Median: 0.4% q/q (sa), 0.7%
y/y (wda); Previous (Q4): 0.0% q/q (sa), 0.6% y/y (wda)
- Having narrowly escaped falling into a technical recession in H2 2018...
- ... the German economy looks to have rebounded strongly in Q1, with growth
potentially reaching around its trend rate
- However, this was likely driven largely by the surge in construction activity
over the quarter, spurred by favourable weather conditions...
- ... and would thus overstate the economy's underlying momentum, with the soft
patch unlikely to be over
- Indeed, some indicators point to the potential for a renewed contraction in Q2
- The significant drop in factory orders in Q1, for example, paints a weak
outlook for industrial production
- Hopes remain alive for a more sustainable rebound in H2, but global devts -
incl US trade policy, China's growth & Brexit - could thwart this
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.