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MNI GLOBAL MORNING BRIEFING: Eyeing U.S. CPI

The morning after the day before and financial markets continue to mull over the ECB's decision to finally end net new asset purchases and, from July, start to 'normalize' interest rates with a 25bps hike to -025%.

Friday's European data gets underway at 0700 with the release of Norwegian inflation data at 0700BST, followed by final Spanish May CPI and then Italian April industrial production.

Norway CPI is seen rising 5.7% y/y, picking up from 5.4% in April, thus giving further tightening ammunition to the Norges Bank ahead of its June 20 meeting.

Spanish final May HICP is expected to be confirmed at 8.5% y/y, with CPI coming in at 8.7% y/y.

Italian April industrial production, expected at 0900BST, will likely show a contraction of 1.1% m/m and a modest 0.1% contraction y/y.

In the UK, the latest BOE/Ipsos inflation expectations survey will be closely watched, with analysts eyeing any further increase in 12 month expectations from the 3 month ago reading of 4.3%.

In The the US, the main release will be the publication of the May CPI data at 1330BST, with economists expecting an unchanged y/y rate of 8.3% and a modest slowing of the core rate to 5.9%. MNI's in depth look at the US inflation data is available now.

Canadian data released at the same time includes the Labor Force survey and capacity utilization.

Late US data sees the preliminary Michigan consumer sentiment survey at 1500BST and the Treasury Budget statement at 2000BST.

With the BOE and Fed in blackout periods, there are few scheduled policymaker speeches. However, plenty of ad hoc appearances by ECB governing council members can be expected after the policy meeting Thursday.


DateGMT/LocalImpactFlagCountryEvent
10/06/20220600/0800*NO CPI Norway
10/06/20220700/0900***ES HICP (f)
10/06/20220800/1000*IT Industrial Production
10/06/20220830/0930**UK Bank of England/TNS Inflation Attitudes Survey
10/06/20221230/0830***CA Labour Force Survey
10/06/20221230/0830***US CPI
10/06/20221345/1545EUECB Lagarde Message for Goethe Uni Law & Finance Institute
10/06/20221400/1000***US University of Michigan Sentiment Index (p)
10/06/20221400/1000*US Services Revenues
10/06/20221600/1200***US USDA Crop Estimates - WASDE
10/06/20221800/1400**US Treasury Budget
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com

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