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MNI Global Morning Briefing: October 7

Thursday throws up a full data calendar, although most releases are second tier.

German industrial production seen lower (0700BST)

German industrial production is expected to have fallen in August, expected to slide from the July levels. Analysts see growing declining 0.4% m/m versus a gain of 1% in July. Year-on-year, growth is seen slowing to 5% from 5.7% in July.

However, following the much weaker than expected August manufacturing orders data released Wednesday, there is a risk of a downside surprise for the latest production data.

Initial claims improving (1330 BST)

Initial claims are expected to fall to 348,000 in the latest period, declining from the 362,000 recorded last week. Analysts see continuing claims falling to 2.79 million from 2.802 million.

Speakers slated for Thursday include ECB Executive Board member Isabel Schnabel, ECB economist Philip Lane, BOC Governor Tiff Macklem and Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester.

MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com

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