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MNI INTERVIEW: Lega To Ready Italy For Likely Euro Crisis-Spox
--If Lega Leads Government, Euro 'Contingency' To Be Put In Place-Spox
--Lega's Pre-Vote Softer Stances Dropped, Euro Reversibility "Big Lie"
--Italy Must Raise Its Voice On EU Stage: Lega Spokesman
By Silvia Marchetti
ROME (MNI) - Italy's Lega will prepare the country for a possible euro
crisis if it leads the next government, a senior party figure told MNI in an
exclusive interview.
Claudio Borghi, a newly-elected Lega Deputy in the Lower House, said the
notion of euro irreversibility was nonsense. This kind of monetary union, "where
there is no real transmission of policy benefits to member states, is fated to
collapse any minute".
Lega, the centre-right party fresh from national electoral success, has
abandoned its more EU-friendly stance it adopted during the election campaign to
help lure less extremist voters, reversing back to its hard-core, traditional
anti-European position.
--EURO REVERSABILITY
"We have all been made to believe that the euro is everlasting. But this is
a huge, unacceptable lie that needs be unmasked once and for all," said Borghi,
the party's economic adviser and leading light on all eurozone issues.
"The euro is fated to die, we need to acknowledge this. That's why we will
put in place an adequate safety-net to avoid negative repercussions were the
euro to really face a crisis," Borghi said, arguing that such a contingency plan
should already be available.
"I will personally go to the Bank of Italy once parliament opens again to
see if it has been put in place. It should be," he added.
Bolstered by picking up nearly 20% of the vote in Sunday's election, Lega
is the biggest stakeholder in the centre-right coalition that won around 37% of
the overall vote.
Now Italy's third-largest party, behind the 5 Star Movement and the
Democrats, chances are high that they will play a major role in the formation of
the next government.
Lega's ultimate goal remains an exit from the euro. This could however
happen in two ways, explained Borghi. The euro could implode naturally, collapse
by itself, or if a Lega-led government built sufficient consensus to leave the
single currency.
"Given our coalition didn't secure the necessary 40% of votes, we first
need to find allies to form a new government. Only after this stage, and if we
do have their support, could we start discussing the future of the euro in
Italy," he said.
Post-vote alliances and coalitions remain blurry. The 5-Star Movement could
support the Lega's anti-euro crusade, but the outgoing Democrats could not.
--LIRA REDUX
Borghi argued that a strong currency such as the euro was harming Italian
exports and that a euro-free economy would have greater independence from
systemic eurozone shocks.
Italy, however, would need to revert to a "stable" currency to substitute
the euro in order to ease the exit process and avoid bank runs.
"Take Austria, for instance, if it goes back to its sustainable Schilling,
there won't be people lining up to withdraw cash at ATMs," he noted.
If Lega do lead Italy's next government it will boost Italy's credibility
and bargaining power on the European stage. "We need to better exploit the fact
that we are net contributors to the EU's budget, refuse binding fiscal rules and
pursue with accommodative policies no matter what Brussels wants," says Borghi.
"If Brussels fails to understand this, too bad for them. We are not like
Greece, we don't receive huge EU subsidies, thus we're on an equal footing and
this should be made clear," he added.
--MNI London Bureau; tel: +44 203-586-2225; email: les.commons@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: M$E$$$,M$I$$$,M$X$$$,MC$$$$,MI$$$$,MT$$$$,MX$$$$,MGX$$$]
To read the full story
Sign up now for free trial access to this content.
Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.