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Free AccessMNI Japan Survey: Revised GDP for July-September Quarter
TOKYO (MNI) - TOKYO (MNI) - The following are the median forecasts for
Japan's revised gross domestic product and components for the July-September
quarter provided by economists.
Friday, Dec. 8, 0850 JST (2350 GMT Thursday): The Cabinet Office releases
revised (second preliminary) Q3 GDP.
Data Median Preliminary
----------------------------------------
GDP q/q 0.4 0.3
GDP Annualized 1.5 1.4
Consumption -0.5 -0.5
Capex 0.3 0.2
Public investment -2.9 -2.5
Private Inventories 0.3 0.2
Net Exports 0.5 0.5
GDP
----------------------------------------
% Q/Q % Annualized
Median Forecast 0.4 1.5
High Forecast 0.5 1.9
Low Forecast 0.3 1.3
Preliminary 0.3 1.4
Standard Deviation 0.1 0.2
No. of Responses 7 7
MUFJ R & C 0.3 1.3
Sumitomo Mitsui AM 0.3 1.4
MUFG Morgan Stanley 0.4 1.5
BNP Paribas 0.4 1.5
Barclays 0.4 1.7
SMBC Nikko 0.4 1.8
Mizuho Research 0.5 1.9
Consumption Capex Public Works
-----------------------------------------------------
% Q/Q % Q/Q % Q/Q
Median -0.5 0.3 -2.9
High Forecast -0.4 1.2 -2.3
Low Forecast -0.5 0.2 -3.5
Preliminary -0.5 0.2 -2.5
Standard Deviation 0 0.4 0.4
No. of Responses 7 7 7
MUFJ R & C -0.5 0.2 -2.4
Sumitomo Mitsui AM -0.5 0.3 -2.9
MUFG Morgan Stanley -0.4 0.4 -3.5
BNP Paribas -0.5 0.6 -3.0
Barclays -0.4 0.3 -2.5
SMBC Nikko -0.5 1.2 -3.1
Mizuho Research -0.5 0.2 -2.3
Private Inventories Net Exports
---------------------------------------------------------------
% Point Contribution % Point Contribution
Median 0.3 0.5
High Forecast 0.4 0.5
Low Forecast 0.2 0.5
Preliminary 0.2 0.5
Standard Deviation 0.1 0.0
No. of Responses 7 7
MUFJ R & C 0.2 0.5
Sumitomo Mitsui AM 0.3 0.5
MUFG Morgan Stanley 0.3 0.5
BNP Paribas 0.2 0.5
Barclays 0.3 0.5
SMBC Nikko 0.2 0.5
Mizuho Research 0.4 0.5
--MNI Tokyo Bureau; tel: +81 90-4670-5309; email: max.sato@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.