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MNI NBH Review - August 2022: NBH Levitates Policy Rate to April 2004 Highs

Executive Summary:

  • The NBH maintained the pace of its tightening cycle and raised its base rate by 100bps yesterday to 11.75% (as expected), its highest level since April 2004.
  • The central bank is also likely to readjust the 1W depo rate by the same magnitude on Thursday.
  • In its statement, the NBH reiterated that it will continue to raise rates until CPI outlook stabilizes.
  • In addition, the central bank also announced that it will raise the required reserve ratio for banks and introduce a LT deposit facility to absorb liquidity at longer maturities.

Link to full review:

NBH CB Review - Aug 30.pdf

The NBH maintained the pace of its tightening cycle and raised its base rate by 100bps yesterday to 11.75% (as expected), its highest level since April 2004. The central bank is also likely to readjust the 1W depo rate by the same magnitude on Thursday. In its statement, the NBH reiterated that it will continue to raise rates until CPI outlook stabilizes. In addition, the central bank also announced that it will raise the required reserve ratio for banks and introduce a LT deposit facility to absorb liquidity at longer maturities.

Deputy Governor Virag mentioned during the press conference that the interest rate path will strongly depend on future CPI prints and EU recovery fund talks. Economic data showed that CPI inflation accelerated to 13.7% YoY in July (vs. 13% exp.), up from 11.7% the previous month and is expected to rise up to 16% in August.

Source: Bloomberg/MNI

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