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MNI NBP Preview - November 2021: NBP Likely To Surprise Again

MNI NBP Preview - May 2021: Policy Rate To Remain Unchanged

Executive Summary:

  • The NBP is likely to maintain the pace of tightening cycle and hike by at least 40bps
  • Inflation surprise positively again in October, and could reach 8% by year-end
  • Consensus is currently pricing in a 25bps hike, which could disappoint the market and therefore lead to further PLN depreciation
Find link to full preview:

MNI Poland CB Preview Nov 3.pdf

The National Bank of Poland is likely to keep the pace of its tightening cycle and hike the policy rate by at least 40bps on November 3rd to curb the inflationary pressures. Even tough Governor Glapinksi refused to comment if the surprising hike last month was the start of a tightening cycle, policymakers may receive external pressure if they decide not to act as inflation surprised positively again in October.

Source: Bloomberg/MNI

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