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MNI NBP Review - December 2021: NBP Disappoint Market With 50bps Hike

MNI NBP Preview - May 2021: Policy Rate To Remain Unchanged

Executive Summary:

  • The NBP decided to raise its policy rate by 50bps to 1.75% (as expected)
  • NBP commented in its statement that the scope of the tightening cycle will depend on data, which leaves PLN vulnerable as it increases the uncertainty over policy outlook
  • Weaker growth expectations imply slower pace while rising inflationary pressures suggest bigger hikes

Link to full review:

MNI Poland CB Review Dec 8.pdf

The NBP decided to raise its policy rate by 50bps to 1.75% (as expected) at yesterday's meeting, which slightly disappointed market and led to some PLN depreciation. The policy rate is now standing slightly above the pre-Covid level (1.50%) following the hike (left chart).



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