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MNI NBP Review - November 2021: NBP Surprised Market (Again)

Executive Summary:

  • The NBP surprised the market again and decided to increase its benchmark rate by 75bps to 1.25% (vs. 25bps consensus).
  • Governor Glapinski mentioned during the press conference that a rate hike next month was more likely than not.
  • Yesterday's meeting showed that NBP doves are 'less powerful' than what market expected.

Link to full review:

MNI Poland CB Review Nov 3.pdf


The NBP surprised the market again and decided to increase its benchmark rate by 75bps to 1.25% (vs. 25bps consensus) at yesterday's meeting as inflationary pressures continue to remain elevated in Poland. The policy rate is now standing slightly below its pre-Covid level (1.50%) following the hike (left chart).





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