May 08, 2024 12:24 GMT
MNI Peru Central Bank Preview – May 2024: Softer CPI Could Tilt BCRP To Continue Easing
The majority of analysts are expecting the BCRP to continue the easing cycle this week with a 25bp reference rate cut to 5.75%.
Executive Summary
- Monetary policy decision and statement press release: 1900ET/1800Local - Thursday, May 09, 2024.
- Most analysts expect the BCRP to cut the reference rate by 25bps to 5.75%.
- A softer-than-expected inflation reading in April has seen annual headline CPI trending towards the BCRP’s target of 2% which could justify further policy easing at this juncture.
- However, the hawkish repricing for the Federal Reserve and volatile external conditions has prompted some analysts to forecast an unchanged decision this week.
- An ongoing cautious approach from the committee and the benefit of having twelve meetings per calendar year make this week’s decision a close call.
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