Free Trial

MNI POLICY: China Pledges More Stimulus On Economic Headwinds

MNI (London)
--PBOC, MOF and NDRC Outline Plans To Boost Economy
     BEIJING (MNI) - China's policymakers pledged Tuesday to conduct
counter-cyclical moves and push through tax cuts to boost growth as the economy
continues to face headwinds, officials from the People's Bank of China, Ministry
of Finance, Ministry of Finance and National Development and Reform Commission
said at a joint briefing on Tuesday.
     Here are main points from the briefing
     --The PBOC will guarantee reasonable and ample liquidity to push credit
expansion via guiding banks to increase loan provision for small and micro
businesses. The central bank stressed that previous moves, including five cuts
in reserve requirement ratio since the start of 2018 and targeted liquidity
tools, had worked as new RMB loans increased CNY2.64 trillion to CNY16.17
trillion as of the end of 2018, with rates also lower for borrowers. The central
bank will take measures to facilitate corporate bond issue and guarantee the
funding to the real economy, while monetary policy will still take note of the
inflation outlook, the PBOC said.
     --The PBOC was satisfied with the current macro leverage ratio, noting the
ratio dropped 0.6 percentage points year-on-year to 249.6% in the third quarter
2018. A flood of stimulus is not an option going forward, the central bank said,
arguing that M2 and social finance growth should be in line with the growth of
nominal GDP. Therefore, the central bank remains cautious over cutting its
benchmark interest rates, and risk being seen signalling an all-out easing. The
PBOC said it would look at current policies to assess the possibility of
benchmark cut.
     --The PBOC stressed that current easing policies, such as the RRR cuts,
would not pressure the yuan exchange rate, as moves are to boost economy and
benefit the stability of the yuan. The resilient economic fundamentals, along
with adequate forex reserves, would stabilize the yuan at a reasonable level,
the PBOC said.
     --The Ministry of Finance will launch larger tax cuts and increase fiscal
spending, particularly focusing on local government special purpose bonds to
support big infrastructure projects. The tax cut will focus on value-added tax
and a reduced tax burden of small and micro companies, the ministry said. MoF
will ask local governments to finish their annual bond issuance (quotas to be
set by govt in March) as early as September. Controls over local government debt
levels and issuance will continue to be enforced.
     --The country will continue to use debt-to-equity swaps to solve the
corporate debt problem, particularly state-owned companies' high leverage
levels, the NDRC said, adding that policy makers will work together to ensure
the funding support for the swaps, including use of capital unlocked by RRR
cuts. China will put weight on investment, particularly in infrastructure
involving the high-tech sector, the NDRC noted. At the same time, employment
will be a priority in the period of economic slowdown, the economic planner
stressed.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 (10) 8532 5998; email: marissa.wang@marketnews.com
--MNI London Bureau; tel: +44 203-586-2225; email: les.commons@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: M$A$$$,M$Q$$$,MT$$$$,MBQ$$$]
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.