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MNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS- Biden-Putin Ukraine Talks Update

Executive Summary

  • Presidents Biden & Putin are set to meet for the first time since the June Geneva talks amid strained bilateral relations. We anticipate that the meeting will be broadly uneventful but construed as constructive - potentially yielding an in-person meeting in January to continue the dialogue on strategic stability and Ukraine.
  • Key US discussion points: Calls for Russia to remove its troops/artillery from the border, guarantees for no military action against Ukraine and move back towards the Minks agreements.
  • Key Russian points: Guaranteed non-expansion Eastward for NATO and EU or further provision of weaponry to Ukraine, non-accession to NATO or EU for Ukraine, Reduced NATO presence in the Black Sea.
Full article PDF attached below

MNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS- Threat Of War Low As Biden-Putin Talks Approach.pdf

Chart 1. Vladimir Putin Domestic Approval Ratings, %


Source: Levada Center

MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com

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