MNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS-Czech Election Preview

Executive Summary

• The Czech legislative election taking place on 8-9 October looks unlikely to deliver a clear result with an obvious winner. Prime Minister Andrej Babis' populist ANO party looks likely to retain its plurality in the Chamber of Deputies but will find it difficult to put together a workable majority coalition.
• The election comes at a difficult time for Babis, who is under scrutiny for revelations stemming from the Pandora Papers release showing his use of offshore firms to purchase a luxury French property in 2009.
• This briefing contains information on the Czech electoral system and main parties/alliances contesting the election, opinion polling analysis, and post-election scenarios with probabilities attached.

MNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS-Czech Election Unlikely To Offer Clear Result.pdf