Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
France holds its elections for the 577 members of the National Assembly, the lower chamber of the country’s parliament, across two rounds on 12 and 19 June. The vote comes just two months after the presidential election, in which incumbent President Emmanuel Macron won a second five-year term in office. The parliamentary election will be seen as a key event by Macron and his centrist Renaissance Party in allowing the administration to proceed with its policy programme outlined ahead of the presidential election.
In this briefing we offer a short guide to the electoral alliances and parties involved, the electoral system, an opinion polling chartpack, and MNI Political Risk team’s implied probabilities of various scenario outcomes.
Full article PDF attached below:
MNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS-France Legislative Election Briefing.pdf
Chart 1. Legislative Election Opinion Poll Second-Round Seat Projection (Mean Average), Main Parties
Source: Ifop, OpinionWay/Kea, Ipsos-Sopra Steria, Harris Interactive, Elabe, MNI. N.b. Dashed line indicates 289 seats required for majority.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.